Mississippi State vs Kentucky Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for January 11

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (14-1, 2-0 SEC) will attempt to extend an eight-game win streak when they host the Kentucky Wildcats (12-3, 1-1 SEC) on January 11, 2025 at Humphrey Coliseum.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Mississippi State vs. Kentucky Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, January 11, 2025
• Game time: 8:30 PM ET
• TV channel: SEC Network
• Location: Starkville, Mississippi
• Arena: Humphrey Coliseum

Mississippi State vs. Kentucky Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Mississippi State win (71.9%)

Here's a look at some betting trends and insights for Mississippi State (-5.5) versus Kentucky on Saturday. The total has been set at 160.5 points for this game.

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Mississippi State vs. Kentucky: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Mississippi State has won nine games against the spread this season, while failing to cover six times.
• Kentucky is 7-8-0 ATS this year.
• As a 5.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Kentucky is 2-0 against the spread compared to the 6-6 ATS record Mississippi State racks up as a 5.5-point favorite.
• The Bulldogs did a better job covering the spread when playing at home (6-9-0) last season than they did in road games (2-8-0).
• The Wildcats were better against the spread away (6-4-0) than at home (8-10-0) last season.

Mississippi State vs. Kentucky: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Mississippi State has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 14 games this year and has walked away with the win 13 times (92.9%) in those games.
• The Bulldogs have a win-loss record of 9-1 when favored by -225 or better by sportsbooks this year.
• Kentucky has been the moneyline underdog just two other times so far this season, and it won both games.
• The Wildcats have played as a moneyline underdog of +180 or longer in only two games this season, which they won both.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Mississippi State has a 69.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Mississippi State vs. Kentucky Head-to-Head Comparison

• Mississippi State averages 83.5 points per game (26th in college basketball) while giving up 66.5 per contest (58th in college basketball). It has a +254 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 17 points per game.
• Josh Hubbard paces Mississippi State, putting up 17.1 points per game (108th in the country).
• Kentucky's +223 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 14.9 points per game) is a result of putting up 88.8 points per game (third in college basketball) while giving up 73.9 per outing (252nd in college basketball).
• Otega Oweh's team-leading 15.7 points per game rank him 205th in the nation.
• The Bulldogs rank 22nd in the nation at 37.1 rebounds per game. That's 5.9 more than the 31.2 their opponents average.
• KeShawn Murphy is 97th in college basketball play with 7.7 rebounds per game to lead the Bulldogs.
• The Wildcats record 36.7 rebounds per game (27th in college basketball) while conceding 33.1 per contest to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 3.6 boards per game.
• Amari Williams tops the team with 8.2 rebounds per game (66th in college basketball).
• Mississippi State ranks 30th in college basketball by averaging 105.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 33rd in college basketball, allowing 83.8 points per 100 possessions.
• The Wildcats' 107.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 13th in college basketball, and the 89.5 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 131st in college basketball.

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