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Michigan vs Penn State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for January 27

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Michigan vs Penn State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for January 27

The Penn State Nittany Lions (13-7, 3-6 Big Ten) will look to break a three-game road losing streak when they take on the Michigan Wolverines (14-5, 6-2 Big Ten) on January 27, 2025 at Crisler Center.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan vs. Penn State Game Info and Odds

  • Game day: Monday, January 27, 2025
  • Game time: 6:30 PM ET
  • TV channel: Big Ten Network
  • Location: Ann Arbor, Michigan
  • Arena: Crisler Center

Michigan vs. Penn State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan win (77.9%)

Before you wager on Monday's Michigan-Penn State spread (Michigan -8.5) or over/under (159.5 points), see the betting trends and insights below.

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Michigan vs. Penn State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • Michigan has covered 10 times in 18 games with a spread this season.
  • Penn State has won 10 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 10 times.
  • Michigan (5-4) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 8.5 points or more this season (55.6%) than Penn State (1-1) does as an 8.5+-point underdog (50%).
  • The Wolverines have done a better job covering the spread at home (5-3-0) than they have in road tilts (3-2-0).
  • The Nittany Lions' winning percentage against the spread, both home and away, is .500. They are 6-6-0 ATS on their home court and 2-2-0 on the road.
  • Michigan has three wins against the spread in seven conference games this year.
  • Penn State has five wins against the spread in nine Big Ten games this season.

Michigan vs. Penn State: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • Michigan has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 15 games this year and has walked away with the win 11 times (73.3%) in those games.
  • This year, the Wolverines have won eight of nine games when listed as at least -410 or better on the moneyline.
  • Penn State has not yet won a game it was the moneyline underdog this season, going 2-1.
  • The Nittany Lions have played as a moneyline underdog of +315 or longer in only two games this season, which they lost both.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Michigan has a 80.4% chance of pulling out a win.

Michigan vs. Penn State Head-to-Head Comparison

  • Michigan has a +246 scoring differential, topping opponents by 12.9 points per game. It is putting up 83.5 points per game to rank 20th in college basketball and is giving up 70.6 per outing to rank 154th in college basketball.
  • Michigan's leading scorer, Vladislav Goldin, is 145th in the nation putting up 16.3 points per game.
  • Penn State outscores opponents by 11.8 points per game (posting 83.8 points per game, 19th in college basketball, and allowing 72 per contest, 197th in college basketball) and has a +236 scoring differential.
  • Penn State's leading scorer, Adrian Baldwin Jr., is 331st in the nation, scoring 14.3 points per game.
  • The Wolverines rank 44th in the nation at 35.6 rebounds per game. That's 7.7 more than the 27.9 their opponents average.
  • Danny Wolf averages 9.8 rebounds per game (ranking 18th in college basketball) to lead the Wolverines.
  • The Nittany Lions pull down 32.2 rebounds per game (192nd in college basketball) while conceding 30.8 per contest to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 1.4 boards per game.
  • Yanic Konan Niederhauser paces the team with 6.3 rebounds per game (267th in college basketball).
  • Michigan ranks 48th in college basketball by averaging 102.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 56th in college basketball, allowing 86.6 points per 100 possessions.
  • The Nittany Lions rank 33rd in college basketball with 103.6 points scored per 100 possessions, and 111th defensively with 89 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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