Michigan vs Michigan State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for February 21

The Michigan Wolverines (20-5, 12-2 Big Ten) will look to build on a six-game win streak when they host the Michigan State Spartans (21-5, 12-3 Big Ten) on February 21, 2025 at Crisler Center.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan vs. Michigan State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, February 21, 2025
• Game time: 8:00 PM ET
• TV channel: FOX
• Location: Ann Arbor, Michigan
• Arena: Crisler Center

Michigan vs. Michigan State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan win (61.6%)

Michigan is a 2.5-point favorite over Michigan State on Friday and the total has been set at 149.5 points. Below are some betting insights and trends to help you make an informed wager on the contest.

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Michigan vs. Michigan State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan has won 11 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 13 times.
• Michigan State has covered 16 times in 26 matchups with a spread this year.
• Michigan State covers the spread when it is a 2.5-point underdog or more 75% of the time. That's more often than Michigan covers as a favorite of 2.5 or more (42.1%).
• The Wolverines have a worse record against the spread when playing at home (5-6-0) than they do in road games (4-4-0).
• This year, the Spartans are 8-6-0 at home against the spread (.571 winning percentage). Away, they are 4-2-0 ATS (.667).
• Michigan is 4-9-0 against the spread in conference action this season.
• Michigan State's Big Ten record against the spread is 10-5-0.

Michigan vs. Michigan State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 20 games this year and has walked away with the win 16 times (80%) in those games.
• This year, the Wolverines have won 14 of 17 games when listed as at least -152 or better on the moneyline.
• Michigan State has compiled a 3-2 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 60% of those games).
• The Spartans have a record of 2-1 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +126 or longer (66.7%).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Michigan has a 60.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Michigan vs. Michigan State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Michigan has a +265 scoring differential, topping opponents by 10.6 points per game. It is putting up 81.6 points per game to rank 28th in college basketball and is allowing 71 per contest to rank 159th in college basketball.
• Vladislav Goldin is 199th in college basketball with a team-leading 15.7 points per game.
• Michigan State has a +304 scoring differential, topping opponents by 11.7 points per game. It is putting up 79.1 points per game, 59th in college basketball, and is allowing 67.4 per outing to rank 59th in college basketball.
• Jaden is ranked 515th in the nation with a team-high 13 points per game.
• The Wolverines win the rebound battle by 6.7 boards on average. They collect 35.2 rebounds per game, which ranks 37th in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 28.5 per contest.
• Danny Wolf is 11th in college basketball play with 10 rebounds per game to lead the Wolverines.
• The 36.7 rebounds per game the Spartans accumulate rank 14th in the nation, 9.2 more than the 27.5 their opponents collect.
• Jaxon Kohler's 7.7 rebounds per game lead the Spartans and rank 88th in college basketball.
• Michigan ranks 66th in college basketball with 100.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and 56th in college basketball defensively with 87.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Spartans rank 53rd in college basketball with 101.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 33rd defensively with 86.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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