Michigan vs Alabama College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament Sweet 16

A Sweet 16 matchup will feature the No. 1 seed Michigan Wolverines (33-3) and the No. 4 seed Alabama Crimson Tide (25-9) playing on Friday at United Center. The NCAA Tournament matchup tips off at 7:35 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan vs. Alabama Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 27, 2026
• Game time: 7:35 p.m. ET
• TV channel: TBS
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• Arena: United Center

Michigan vs. Alabama Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan win (72.1%)

Michigan is an 8.5-point favorite against Alabama on Friday and the total is set at 173.5 points. Below are a few betting trends and insights to help you make an informed wager on the matchup.

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Michigan vs. Alabama: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan has put together a 16-20-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Alabama has covered 16 times in 34 games with a spread this season.
• Michigan covers the spread when it is an 8.5-point favorite or more 37% of the time. That's more often than Alabama covers as an underdog of 8.5 or more (never covered this season).
• When playing at home, the Wolverines own a better record against the spread (8-7-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (4-7-0).
• The Crimson Tide's winning percentage against the spread at home is .400 (6-9-0). Away, it is .500 (5-5-0).

Michigan vs. Alabama: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan has been victorious in 31, or 91.2%, of the 34 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Wolverines have a mark of 24-1 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -450 or better on the moneyline.
• Alabama has gone 5-4 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 55.6% of those games).
• The Crimson Tide have not yet played as a moneyline underdog of +340 or longer.
• Michigan has an implied victory probability of 81.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Michigan vs. Alabama Head-to-Head Comparison

• Michigan was 75th in the country in points scored (78 per game) and 160th in points allowed (71.5) last year.
• At 35 rebounds per game and 30.2 rebounds conceded, Michigan was 34th and 114th in the country, respectively, last season.
• Last season Michigan was ranked 46th in the nation in assists with 15.8 per game.
• Last season, Michigan was 14th-worst in the country in turnovers committed (13.6 per game) and 240th in turnovers forced (10.6).
• Because of Alabama's defensive struggles last season, ranking third-worst in college basketball with 81.3 points allowed per game, it was forced to lean on its offense, which ranked best in college basketball posting 90.7 points per game.
• Alabama ranked third-best in the country by pulling down 38.8 rebounds per game. In terms of rebounds allowed, it ranked 290th in college basketball (33 allowed per contest).
• With 17.1 assists per game, Alabama ranked 13th-best in college basketball in the category.
• Alabama was 267th in college basketball with 12.1 turnovers per game last season. Meanwhile, it ranked 305th with 10 forced turnovers per game.

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