Michigan State vs Wisconsin Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big Ten Tournament

The No. 1 seed Michigan State Spartans (27-5, 17-3 Big Ten) square off in the Big Ten tournament against the No. 5 seed Wisconsin Badgers (25-8, 13-7 Big Ten) on Saturday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, tipping off at 1 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, March 15, 2025
• Game time: 1 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS
• Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
• Arena: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan State win (56.6%)

Before making a wager on Saturday's Michigan State-Wisconsin spread (Michigan State -3.5) or total (145.5 points), read the betting trends and insights below.

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Michigan State vs. Wisconsin: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan State has put together a 22-10-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Wisconsin has won 20 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 13 times.
• As a 3.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Wisconsin is 4-3 against the spread compared to the 16-6 ATS record Michigan State puts up as a 3.5-point favorite.
• When playing at home, the Spartans have a worse record against the spread (10-6-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (7-2-0).
• The Badgers have performed better against the spread on the road (8-3-0) than at home (8-9-0) this year.
• Michigan State's record against the spread in conference action is 16-5-0.
• Against the spread in Big Ten play, Wisconsin is 15-7-0 this season.

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan State has won in 22, or 88%, of the 25 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• This season, the Spartans have come away with a win 19 times in 21 chances when named as a favorite of at least -156 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Wisconsin has won 44.4% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (4-5).
• The Badgers have a record of 2-5 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +130 or longer (28.6%).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Michigan State has a 60.9% chance of walking away with the win.

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin Head-to-Head Comparison

• Michigan State outscores opponents by 11.4 points per game (scoring 78.3 per game to rank 73rd in college basketball while giving up 66.9 per outing to rank 43rd in college basketball) and has a +363 scoring differential overall.
• Jaden Akins ranks 543rd in college basketball with a team-high 12.9 points per game.
• Wisconsin is outscoring opponents by 9.9 points per game, with a +328 scoring differential overall. It puts up 80.6 points per game (36th in college basketball) and allows 70.7 per contest (138th in college basketball).
• John Tonje leads Wisconsin, putting up 19.1 points per game (41st in college basketball).
• The Spartans are ninth in the nation at 36.8 rebounds per game. That's 8.9 more than the 27.9 their opponents average.
• Jaxon Kohler's 7.7 rebounds per game lead the Spartans and rank 83rd in college basketball action.
• The Badgers pull down 32.9 rebounds per game (124th in college basketball) while conceding 31.1 per contest to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 1.8 boards per game.
• Nolan Winter is 323rd in the country with six rebounds per game, leading the Badgers.
• Michigan State averages 100.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (75th in college basketball), and gives up 86 points per 100 possessions (22nd in college basketball).
• The Badgers rank 18th in college basketball averaging 104.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 139th, allowing 92 points per 100 possessions.

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