Michigan State vs Wisconsin Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 2

The Wisconsin Badgers (22-6, 12-5 Big Ten) will visit the Michigan State Spartans (23-5, 14-3 Big Ten) after winning three straight road games.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Sunday, March 2, 2025
• Game time: 1:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS
• Location: East Lansing, Michigan
• Arena: Jack Breslin Students Events Center

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan State win (66.4%)

Read the betting insights and trends below before making a wager on Sunday's Michigan State-Wisconsin spread (Michigan State -4.5) or total (145.5 points).

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Michigan State vs. Wisconsin: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan State is 18-10-0 ATS this season.
• Wisconsin has compiled an 18-10-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Michigan State covers the spread when it is a 4.5-point favorite or more 68.8% of the time. That's more often than Wisconsin covers as an underdog of 4.5 or more (60%).
• The Spartans have done a better job covering the spread on the road (6-2-0) than they have at home (8-6-0).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Badgers have a lower winning percentage at home (.500, 8-8-0 record) than on the road (.778, 7-2-0).
• Michigan State is 12-5-0 against the spread in conference action this year.
• Wisconsin has covered the spread 13 times in 17 Big Ten games.

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan State has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 21 games this year and has walked away with the win 18 times (85.7%) in those games.
• The Spartans have a mark of 15-1 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -192 or better on the moneyline.
• Wisconsin has compiled a 4-4 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 50% of those games).
• The Badgers are 2-3 (winning 40% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +158 or longer.
• Michigan State has an implied victory probability of 65.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin Head-to-Head Comparison

• Michigan State averages 78.2 points per game (72nd in college basketball) while giving up 66.8 per outing (44th in college basketball). It has a +320 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 11.4 points per game.
• Jaden Akins paces Michigan State, averaging 12.7 points per game (577th in the country).
• Wisconsin's +318 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 11.4 points per game) is a result of putting up 81.9 points per game (23rd in college basketball) while allowing 70.5 per contest (135th in college basketball).
• John Tonje leads Wisconsin, recording 19.5 points per game (28th in college basketball).
• The 36.7 rebounds per game the Spartans average rank 11th in the nation, and are 9.2 more than the 27.5 their opponents pull down per contest.
• Jaxon Kohler's 7.6 rebounds per game lead the Spartans and rank 95th in college basketball play.
• The Badgers prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 2.7 boards. They are pulling down 32.8 rebounds per game (133rd in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 30.1.
• Nolan Winter's 5.7 rebounds per game lead the Badgers and rank 391st in the nation.
• Michigan State ranks 66th in college basketball with 100.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 26th in college basketball defensively with 86 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Badgers' 106.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 10th in college basketball, and the 92 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 148th in college basketball.

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