Michigan State vs USC Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for February 1

The Michigan State Spartans (18-2, 9-0 Big Ten) will try to continue a 13-game win streak when they visit the USC Trojans (12-8, 4-5 Big Ten) on February 1, 2025 at Galen Center.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan State vs. USC Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, February 1, 2025
• Game time: 4:30 PM ET
• TV channel: Peacock
• Location: Los Angeles, California
• Arena: Galen Center

Michigan State vs. USC Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan State win (67.7%)

Take a look at the betting trends and insights below before placing a wager on Saturday's Michigan State-USC spread (Michigan State -5.5) or total (149.5 points).

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Michigan State vs. USC: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan State is 13-7-0 ATS this season.
• USC has compiled an 8-12-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Michigan State covers the spread when it is a 5.5-point favorite or more 69.2% of the time. That's more often than USC covers as an underdog of 5.5 or more (33.3%).
• At home last season, the Spartans owned a better record against the spread (11-7-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (4-6-0).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Trojans have a lower winning percentage at home (.357, 5-9-0 record) than away (.750, 3-1-0).
• Michigan State is 7-2-0 against the spread in conference play this year.
• USC's Big Ten record against the spread is 4-5-0.

Michigan State vs. USC: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan State has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 17 games this year and has walked away with the win 16 times (94.1%) in those games.
• The Spartans have yet to lose in 13 games when named as moneyline favorite of -215 or better.
• USC has won three of the nine games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (33.3%).
• The Trojans have a record of 2-4 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +176 or longer (33.3%).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Michigan State has a 68.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Michigan State vs. USC Head-to-Head Comparison

• Michigan State averages 81.3 points per game (39th in college basketball) while giving up 67.2 per outing (61st in college basketball). It has a +281 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 14.1 points per game.
• Michigan State's leading scorer, Jaden, is 415th in the nation putting up 13.6 points per game.
• USC outscores opponents by 4.2 points per game (posting 77 points per game, 111th in college basketball, and giving up 72.8 per outing, 227th in college basketball) and has a +84 scoring differential.
• Desmond Claude's 16.1 points per game paces USC and ranks 164th in the country.
• The 37.5 rebounds per game the Spartans average rank ninth in the nation, and are 9.7 more than the 27.8 their opponents pull down per outing.
• Jaxon Kohler paces the team with 7.6 rebounds per game (104th in college basketball action).
• The Trojans are 327th in the nation at 29.2 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 28.4 their opponents average.
• Saint Thomas averages 6.1 rebounds per game (302nd in college basketball) to lead the Trojans.
• Michigan State ranks 46th in college basketball by averaging 102.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 28th in college basketball, allowing 84.7 points per 100 possessions.
• The Trojans average 100.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (74th in college basketball), and concede 95.2 points per 100 possessions (261st in college basketball).

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