Michigan State vs UCLA College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big Ten Tournament

The No. 3 seed Michigan State Spartans (25-6, 15-5 Big Ten) and the No. 6 seed UCLA Bruins (22-10, 13-7 Big Ten) will look to advance in the Big Ten tournament on Friday as they meet at 9 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan State vs. UCLA Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 13, 2026
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Big Ten Network
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• Arena: United Center

Michigan State vs. UCLA Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan State win (65%)

Before you place a wager on Michigan State-UCLA matchup (in which Michigan State is a 5.5-point favorite and the over/under has been set at 140.5 points), below are a few betting trends and insights for Friday's game.

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Michigan State vs. UCLA: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan State has put together a 17-14-0 record against the spread this season.
• UCLA has won 14 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 18 times.
• When the spread is set as 5.5 or more this season, Michigan State (7-11) covers a higher percentage of those games when it is the favorite (38.9%) than UCLA (2-4) does as the underdog (33.3%).
• The Spartans have done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (6-4-0) than they have at home (8-9-0).
• Against the spread, the Bruins have been better at home (10-8-0) than on the road (3-7-0).
• Michigan State has beaten the spread 12 times in 20 conference games.
• UCLA has beaten the spread 10 times in 21 Big Ten games.

Michigan State vs. UCLA: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan State has come away with 22 wins in the 24 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Spartans have a mark of 16-1 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -260 or better on the moneyline.
• UCLA has won 30% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (3-7).
• In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +210 or longer, the Bruins have gone 1-4 (20%).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Michigan State has a 72.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Michigan State vs. UCLA Head-to-Head Comparison

• Michigan State averages 78.8 points per game (104th in college basketball) while giving up 67.8 per outing (40th in college basketball). It has a +341 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 11.0 points per game.
• Jeremy Fears Jr.'s team-leading 15.5 points per game ranks 269th in the country.
• UCLA outscores opponents by 7.3 points per game (posting 77.8 points per game, 131st in college basketball, and giving up 70.5 per outing, 83rd in college basketball) and has a +232 scoring differential.
• Tyler Bilodeau's 18.1 points per game paces UCLA and ranks 93rd in college basketball.
• The Spartans come out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 11.6 boards. They are recording 37.1 rebounds per game (11th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 25.5 per contest.
• Jaxon Kohler averages 9.1 rebounds per game (ranking 27th in college basketball) to lead the Spartans.
• The Bruins grab 29.6 rebounds per game (304th in college basketball), compared to the 29.7 of their opponents.
• Bilodeau's 5.7 rebounds per game lead the Bruins and rank 363rd in the nation.
• Michigan State's 104.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 40th in college basketball, and the 89.8 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 52nd in college basketball.
• The Bruins' 103.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 47th in college basketball, and the 94.2 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 150th in college basketball.

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