Michigan State vs Iowa Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 6

The Michigan State Spartans (24-5, 15-3 Big Ten) will look to extend a three-game road win streak when they square off against the Iowa Hawkeyes (15-14, 6-12 Big Ten) on March 6, 2025 at Carver-Hawkeye Arena.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan State vs. Iowa Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 6, 2025
• Game time: 8 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Fox Sports 1
• Location: Iowa City, Iowa
• Arena: Carver-Hawkeye Arena

Michigan State vs. Iowa Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan State win (67.1%)

Take a look at some betting trends and insights for Michigan State (-6.5) versus Iowa on Thursday. The total is set at 155.5 points for this game.

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Michigan State vs. Iowa: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan State is 19-10-0 ATS this season.
• Iowa is 11-18-0 ATS this year.
• Michigan State (10-5) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 6.5 points or more this season (66.7%) than Iowa (1-6) does as a 6.5+-point underdog (14.3%).
• The Spartans have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered nine times in 15 games at home, and they've covered six times in eight games when playing on the road.
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Hawkeyes have a better winning percentage at home (.412, 7-10-0 record) than on the road (.222, 2-7-0).
• Michigan State has 13 wins against the spread in 18 conference games this year.
• Iowa has covered the spread four times in 18 Big Ten games.

Michigan State vs. Iowa: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan State has been the moneyline favorite in 22 games this season and has come away with the win 19 times (86.4%) in those contests.
• The Spartans have a win-loss record of 12-1 when favored by -300 or better by oddsmakers this year.
• Iowa has gone 1-12 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 7.7% of those games).
• The Hawkeyes have played four times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +240 or longer, and fell in each game.
• Michigan State has an implied victory probability of 75% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Michigan State vs. Iowa Head-to-Head Comparison

• Michigan State has a +329 scoring differential, topping opponents by 11.4 points per game. It is putting up 78 points per game to rank 77th in college basketball and is allowing 66.6 per outing to rank 41st in college basketball.
• Jaden Akins is 550th in college basketball with a team-high 12.9 points per game.
• Iowa is outscoring opponents by 3.1 points per game, with a +89 scoring differential overall. It puts up 82.2 points per game (21st in college basketball) and allows 79.1 per outing (339th in college basketball).
• Payton Sandfort's 16.1 points per game leads Iowa and ranks 180th in college basketball.
• The Spartans average 37.1 rebounds per game (seventh in college basketball) while conceding 27.9 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 9.2 boards per game.
• Jaxon Kohler paces the team with 7.9 rebounds per game (68th in college basketball play).
• The Hawkeyes record 29.7 rebounds per game (306th in college basketball) while conceding 34.6 per outing to opponents. They are outrebounded by 4.9 boards per game.
• Sandfort paces the team with 6.2 rebounds per game (279th in college basketball).
• Michigan State's 100.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 79th in college basketball, and the 85.6 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 19th in college basketball.
• The Hawkeyes rank 34th in college basketball with 102.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and 318th defensively with 98.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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