Miami (OH) vs UMass College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 27

The Miami (OH) RedHawks (20-0, 8-0 MAC) will try to continue a 12-game home winning streak when they square off against the UMass Minutemen (13-8, 4-5 MAC) on January 27, 2026 at Millett Hall.
Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Miami (OH) vs. UMass Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Tuesday, January 27, 2026
- Game time: 9 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPNU
- Location: Oxford, Ohio
- Arena: Millett Hall
Miami (OH) vs. UMass Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Miami (OH) win (79.5%)
Read these betting trends and insights before you wager on Tuesday's Miami (OH)-UMass spread (Miami (OH) -9.5) or over/under (164.5 points).
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Miami (OH) vs. UMass: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Miami (OH) has covered 13 times in 17 chances against the spread this season.
- UMass has put together an 8-12-0 record against the spread this season.
- When the spread is set as 9.5 or more this season, Miami (OH) (5-3) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (62.5%) than UMass (1-0) does as the underdog (100%).
- The RedHawks have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered five times in eight games when playing at home, and they've covered seven times in eight games when playing on the road.
- In 2025-26 against the spread, the Minutemen have a better winning percentage at home (.400, 4-6-0 record) than away (.200, 1-4-0).
- Against the spread, in conference games, Miami (OH) is 6-2-0 this year.
- UMass has posted two MAC wins against the spread this season.
Miami (OH) vs. UMass: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Miami (OH) has been listed as the moneyline favorite 13 times this season and has come away with a win in all of those games.
- The RedHawks have been a -549 moneyline favorite on eight occasions this season and won every game.
- UMass has won four of the eight games it was the moneyline underdog this season (50%).
- The Minutemen have played as a moneyline underdog of +390 or longer in only one game this season, which they won.
- Miami (OH) has an implied victory probability of 84.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
Miami (OH) vs. UMass Head-to-Head Comparison
- Miami (OH) outscores opponents by 19.9 points per game (scoring 94.6 per game to rank first in college basketball while allowing 74.7 per outing to rank 213th in college basketball) and has a +398 scoring differential overall.
- Brant Byers' team-leading 15.3 points per game ranks 258th in college basketball.
- UMass has a +116 scoring differential, topping opponents by 5.5 points per game. It is putting up 79.7 points per game, 116th in college basketball, and is giving up 74.2 per contest to rank 201st in college basketball.
- Leonardo Bettiol is ranked 134th in the country with a team-high 17.1 points per game.
- The RedHawks average 33.6 rebounds per game (119th in college basketball) while conceding 29.0 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 4.6 boards per game.
- Eian Elmer's 5.8 rebounds per game lead the RedHawks and rank 342nd in college basketball play.
- The 34.4 rebounds per game the Minutemen accumulate rank 90th in the country, 6.2 more than the 28.2 their opponents pull down.
- Bettiol's 7.5 rebounds per game lead the Minutemen and rank 111th in the nation.
- Miami (OH)'s 116.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank first in college basketball, and the 91.6 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 127th in college basketball.
- The Minutemen rank 172nd in college basketball averaging 98.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 119th, allowing 91.3 points per 100 possessions.
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