Mets vs Pirates Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for June 27

Odds updated as of 4:13 a.m.
MLB action on Friday includes the New York Mets taking on the Pittsburgh Pirates.
We've got you covered, in terms of the vital info regarding this matchup before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Mets vs Pirates Game Info
- New York Mets (48-34) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (32-50)
- Date: Friday, June 27, 2025
- Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Venue: PNC Park -- Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- Coverage: SportsNet PT and SNY
Mets vs Pirates Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: NYM: (-164) | PIT: (+138)
- Spread: NYM: -1.5 (-102) | PIT: +1.5 (-118)
- Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-114) | Under: (-106)
Mets vs Pirates Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: David Peterson (Mets) - 5-3, 2.98 ERA vs Mitch Keller (Pirates) - 1-10, 4.02 ERA
The probable starters are David Peterson (5-3) for the Mets and Mitch Keller (1-10) for the Pirates. When Peterson starts, his team is 7-7-0 against the spread this season. Peterson's team has been victorious in 88.9% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 8-1. When Keller starts, the Pirates have gone 7-8-0 against the spread. The Pirates are 2-8 in Keller's 10 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
Mets vs Pirates Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Mets win (55%)
Mets vs Pirates Moneyline
- Pittsburgh is the underdog, +138 on the moneyline, while New York is a -164 favorite despite being on the road.
Mets vs Pirates Spread
- The Pirates are +1.5 on the run line against the Mets. The Pirates are -118 to cover, and the Mets are -102.
Mets vs Pirates Over/Under
- Mets versus Pirates, on June 27, has an over/under of 8.5, with the over being -114 and the under -106.
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Mets vs Pirates Betting Trends
- The Mets have been favorites in 54 games this season and have come away with the win 38 times (70.4%) in those contests.
- This season New York has been victorious 19 times in 25 chances when named as a favorite of at least -164 on the moneyline.
- The Mets and their opponents have hit the over in 31 of their 79 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Mets are 41-38-0 against the spread in their 79 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Pirates have been the underdog on the moneyline 52 total times this season. They've gone 20-32 in those games.
- Pittsburgh is 9-17 (winning just 34.6% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +138 or longer.
- The Pirates have played in 76 games with a set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 29 times (29-44-3).
- The Pirates have a 37-39-0 record ATS this season.
Mets Player Leaders
- Juan Soto leads New York with an OBP of .394 this season while batting .257 with 67 walks and 60 runs scored. He has a slugging percentage of .503.
- Among all qualified hitters, he ranks 79th in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks sixth, and he is 22nd in slugging.
- Soto hopes to build on a two-game hitting streak in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .267 with three home runs, four walks and four RBIs.
- Pete Alonso leads New York with 90 hits and a team-best slugging percentage of .549. He's batting .292 with an on-base percentage of .384.
- He is 23rd in batting average, 12th in on-base percentage and ninth in slugging in the major leagues.
- Alonso has picked up a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .263 with a double and an RBI.
- Francisco Lindor has collected 85 base hits, an OBP of .333 and a slugging percentage of .458 this season.
- Brandon Nimmo is batting .251 with a .313 OBP and 42 RBI for New York this season.
- Nimmo takes a two-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with a walk and an RBI.
Pirates Player Leaders
- Oneil Cruz has 10 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 42 walks while batting .205. He's slugging .398 with an on-base percentage of .317.
- Including all qualifying players, he ranks 155th in batting average, while his on-base percentage is 103rd and he is 107th in slugging.
- Andrew McCutchen has racked up 65 hits with a .338 on-base percentage to lead his team in both. He has a batting average of .259 while slugging .406.
- Including all qualifying hitters, his batting average places him 75th, his on-base percentage is 67th, and he is 96th in slugging.
- Bryan Reynolds has a .372 slugging percentage, which leads the Pirates.
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa is batting .273 with 10 doubles, two triples, a home run and 12 walks.
Mets vs Pirates Head to Head
- 5/14/2025: 4-0 PIT (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -270, Underdog Moneyline: +220)
- 5/13/2025: 2-1 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -250, Underdog Moneyline: +205)
- 5/12/2025: 4-3 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -166, Underdog Moneyline: +140)
- 7/8/2024: 8-2 PIT (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
- 7/7/2024: 3-2 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
- 7/6/2024: 5-2 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -132, Underdog Moneyline: +112)
- 7/5/2024: 14-2 PIT (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
- 4/17/2024: 9-1 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
- 4/16/2024: 3-1 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
- 4/15/2024: 6-3 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
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