Mets vs Padres Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for Aug. 17

Odds updated as of 2:12 p.m.

In MLB action on Monday, the New York Mets play the San Diego Padres.

All the info you need to make smart bets on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook can be found below. Check out all of the latest MLB betting lines here.

Mets vs Padres Game Info

• New York Mets (56-69) vs. San Diego Padres (67-58)
• Date: Monday, August 17, 2026
• Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Citi Field -- Queens, New York
• Coverage: SNY and Padres.TV

Mets vs Padres Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: NYM: (-120) | SD: (+110)
• Spread: NYM: -1.5 (+158) | SD: +1.5 (-192)
• Total: 8 -- Over: (-112) | Under: (-108)

Mets vs Padres Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Nolan McLean (Mets) - 8-8, 3.42 ERA vs Walker Buehler (Padres) - 7-5, 4.88 ERA

The probable pitchers are Nolan McLean (8-8) for the Mets and Walker Buehler (7-5) for the Padres. McLean's team is 10-10-0 against the spread this season in his starts. McLean's team has been victorious in 43.8% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 7-9. The Padres are 17-7-0 against the spread when Buehler starts. The Padres are 10-4 in Buehler's 14 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.

Mets vs Padres Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Mets win (56.4%)

Mets vs Padres Moneyline

• Looking at the moneyline for Padres-Mets, San Diego is the underdog at +110, and New York is -120 playing at home.

Mets vs Padres Spread

• The Mets are hosting the Padres and are favored by 1.5 runs on the spread. The Mets are +158 to cover the runline, with the Padres being -192.

Mets vs Padres Over/Under

• A total of 8 runs has been set for the Mets-Padres contest on Aug. 17, with the over available at -112 and the under at -108.

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Mets vs Padres Betting Trends

• The Mets have been chosen as favorites in 64 games this year and have walked away with the win 34 times (53.1%) in those games.
• This season New York has come away with a win 26 times in 54 chances when named as a favorite of at least -120 on the moneyline.
• The Mets' games have gone over the total in 54 of their 121 opportunities.
• The Mets have posted a record of 56-65-0 against the spread this season.
• The Padres have won 50% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (34-34).
• When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +110 or longer, San Diego has a record of 15-22 (40.5%).
• The Padres have had an over/under set by bookmakers 125 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 56 of those games (56-67-2).
• The Padres have collected a 71-54-0 record against the spread this season (covering 56.8% of the time).

Mets Player Leaders

• Bo Bichette has an OPS of .700, fueled by an OBP of .313 and a team-best slugging percentage of .386 this season. He has a .266 batting average.
• He ranks 49th in batting average, 104th in on-base percentage, and 112th in slugging among all qualifying hitters in the majors.
• Bichette hopes to build on a four-game hitting streak in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a triple, a home run, two walks and two RBIs.
• Carson Benge leads the Mets in OBP (.335) and total hits (122) this season. He's batting .272 while slugging .415.
• Among qualifying hitters, his batting average places him 41st, his on-base percentage 67th, and his slugging percentage 86th.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .245 with a .441 slugging percentage and 32 RBI this year.
• Lindor takes a three-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is batting .294 with a home run, four walks and two RBIs.
• Marcus Semien has 14 home runs, 41 RBI and a batting average of .209 this season.

Padres Player Leaders

• Fernando Tatis Jr. has accumulated 134 hits with a .355 on-base percentage and a .423 slugging percentage, all club-bests for the Padres. He's batting .280.
• Including all qualified players in the majors, his batting average puts him 25th, his on-base percentage is 39th, and he is 74th in slugging.
• Manny Machado is hitting .211 with 20 doubles, 23 home runs and 56 walks. He's slugging .407 with an on-base percentage of .295.
• Including all qualifying hitters, he ranks 137th in batting average, 128th in on-base percentage and 90th in slugging percentage.
• Jackson Merrill is batting .244 with 20 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 33 walks.
• Xander Bogaerts has 11 doubles, 11 home runs and 58 walks while batting .223.

Mets vs Padres Head to Head

• 6/7/2026: 7-3 NYM (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 6/6/2026: 3-2 SD (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
• 6/5/2026: 5-0 NYM (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 9/18/2025: 6-1 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 9/17/2025: 7-4 SD (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 9/16/2025: 8-3 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -122, Underdog Moneyline: +104)
• 7/30/2025: 5-0 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 7/29/2025: 7-1 SD (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -132, Underdog Moneyline: +112)
• 7/28/2025: 7-6 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 8/25/2024: 3-2 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)

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