Mets vs Padres Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 30

Odds updated as of 2:11 p.m.

In MLB action on Wednesday, the San Diego Padres take on the New York Mets.

Before you do any MLB betting on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's what you need to know.

Padres vs Mets Game Info

• San Diego Padres (59-49) vs. New York Mets (62-46)
• Date: Wednesday, July 30, 2025
• Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: PETCO Park -- San Diego, California
• Coverage: MLB Network, SDPA, and SNY

Padres vs Mets Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: SD: (-118) | NYM: (-100)
• Spread: SD: +1.5 (-200) | NYM: -1.5 (+164)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-108) | Under: (-112)

Padres vs Mets Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Yu Darvish (Padres) - 0-3, 9.18 ERA vs Clay Holmes (Mets) - 9-5, 3.40 ERA

The Padres will give the nod to Yu Darvish (0-3, 9.18 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 1 on the season, and the Mets will turn to Clay Holmes (9-5, 3.40 ERA). Darvish and his team have a record of 1-2-0 against the spread when he starts. Darvish's team lost his only start as a favorite this season. The Mets are 9-10-0 ATS in Holmes' 19 starts with a set spread. The Mets have been the moneyline underdog in four of Holmes' starts this season, and they went 2-2 in those games.

Padres vs Mets Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Mets win (50.6%)

Padres vs Mets Moneyline

• San Diego is the favorite, -118 on the moneyline, while New York is a -100 underdog on the road.

Padres vs Mets Spread

• The Mets are 1.5-run favorites against the spread for this matchup with the Padres. The Mets are +164 to cover, while the Padres are -200 to cover as a 1.5-run underdog on the runline.

Padres vs Mets Over/Under

• The over/under for Padres-Mets on July 30 is 8.5. The over is -108, and the under is -112.

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Padres vs Mets Betting Trends

• The Padres have won in 31, or 59.6%, of the 52 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
• San Diego has a record of 29-19 when favored by -118 or more this year.
• Contests with the Padres have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 44 of 106 chances this season.
• The Padres have an against the spread mark of 58-48-0 in 106 games with a line this season.
• The Mets have won 41.4% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (12-17).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -100 or longer, New York has an 8-13 record (winning just 38.1% of its games).
• The Mets have played in 103 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 45 times (45-54-4).
• The Mets have covered 49.5% of their games this season, going 51-52-0 against the spread.

Padres Player Leaders

• Manny Machado has 125 hits to go with a slugging percentage of .511, both of which rank first among San Diego hitters this season. He has a .301 batting average and an on-base percentage of .361.
• Among all qualifying hitters in MLB, he ranks eighth in batting average, 30th in on-base percentage, and 17th in slugging.
• Machado has picked up at least one hit in seven straight games. In his last 10 outings he is batting .436 with five doubles, two home runs, three walks and nine RBIs.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has 108 hits this season and a team-best OBP of .367. He's batting .269 and slugging .450.
• He ranks 54th in batting average, 22nd in on-base percentage and 62nd in slugging in MLB.
• Tatis heads into this matchup looking to extend his three-game hit streak. In his last five games he is batting .316 with four doubles, four walks and an RBI.
• Luis Arraez has 121 hits this season and has a slash line of .293/.328/.404.
• Arraez enters this matchup with 12 games in a row with at least one hit. In his last 10 games he is hitting .366 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and five RBIs.
• Xander Bogaerts has been key for San Diego with 102 hits, an OBP of .339 plus a slugging percentage of .385.

Mets Player Leaders

• Juan Soto has put up an on-base percentage of .382, a team-best for the Mets. He's batting .248 and slugging .488.
• Including all qualifying hitters in the big leagues, he is 98th in batting average, eighth in on-base percentage and 27th in slugging percentage.
• Pete Alonso paces his team with 105 hits. He has a batting average of .261 while slugging .495 with an on-base percentage of .353.
• He is currently 73rd in batting average, 42nd in on-base percentage and 23rd in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters.
• Francisco Lindor has a .434 slugging percentage, which leads the Mets.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .258 with 20 doubles, 19 home runs and 33 walks.

Padres vs Mets Head to Head

• 7/29/2025: 7-1 SD (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -132, Underdog Moneyline: +112)
• 7/28/2025: 7-6 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 8/25/2024: 3-2 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 8/24/2024: 7-1 NYM (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
• 8/23/2024: 7-0 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 8/22/2024: 8-3 NYM (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
• 6/16/2024: 11-6 NYM (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
• 6/15/2024: 5-1 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 7/9/2023: 6-2 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
• 7/8/2023: 3-1 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -178, Underdog Moneyline: +150)

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