Mets vs Padres Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 29

Odds updated as of 9:15 p.m.
The MLB schedule on Tuesday includes the New York Mets facing the San Diego Padres.
We've got you covered, in terms of the most important information about this matchup before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Mets vs Padres Game Info
- New York Mets (62-45) vs. San Diego Padres (58-49)
- Date: Tuesday, July 29, 2025
- Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
- Venue: PETCO Park -- San Diego, California
- Coverage: MLB Network, SDPA, and SNY
Mets vs Padres Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: NYM: (-132) | SD: (+112)
- Spread: NYM: -1.5 (+130) | SD: +1.5 (-156)
- Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-102) | Under: (-120)
Mets vs Padres Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Sean Manaea (Mets) - 1-1, 2.19 ERA vs Ryan Bergert (Padres) - 1-0, 2.84 ERA
The Mets will give the nod to Sean Manaea (1-1, 2.19 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 2 on the season, and the Padres will counter with Ryan Bergert (1-0, 2.84 ERA). Manaea has a record of 1-1-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season. Manaea's team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they're favored on the moneyline. The Padres have a 5-1-0 ATS record in Bergert's six starts that had a set spread. The Padres are 4-1 in Bergert's five starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
Mets vs Padres Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Padres win (50.5%)
Mets vs Padres Moneyline
- Looking at the moneyline for Padres-Mets, San Diego is the underdog at +112, and New York is -132 playing on the road.
Mets vs Padres Spread
- The Padres are hosting the Mets, and are +1.5 on the runline. The Padres are +130 to cover the spread, and the Mets are -156.
Mets vs Padres Over/Under
- The over/under for Mets-Padres on July 29 is 8.5. The over is -102, and the under is -120.
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Mets vs Padres Betting Trends
- The Mets have been chosen as favorites in 72 games this year and have walked away with the win 48 times (66.7%) in those games.
- This season New York has been victorious 35 times in 54 chances when named as a favorite of at least -132 on the moneyline.
- The Mets and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 45 of their 102 opportunities.
- The Mets have posted a record of 51-51-0 against the spread this season.
- The Padres have won 48% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (24-26).
- San Diego has an 18-19 record (winning 48.6% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +112 or longer.
- The Padres have played in 105 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 44 times (44-58-3).
- The Padres have collected a 57-48-0 record against the spread this season (covering 54.3% of the time).
Mets Player Leaders
- Juan Soto has 94 hits this season and a team-best OBP of .384. He has a .249 batting average and a slugging percentage of .491.
- He ranks 98th in batting average, sixth in on-base percentage, and 25th in slugging among qualifying batters in baseball.
- Francisco Lindor has an OPS of .755, fueled by an OBP of .317 and a team-best slugging percentage of .438 this season. He's batting .251.
- Among qualified hitters, his batting average places him 95th, his on-base percentage 103rd, and his slugging percentage 70th.
- Pete Alonso has 105 hits and is batting .263 this season.
- Brandon Nimmo has 19 home runs, 60 RBI and a batting average of .260 this season.
- Nimmo brings a two-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .261 with two doubles, a home run and four RBIs.
Padres Player Leaders
- Manny Machado has racked up 124 hits with a .506 slugging percentage, both team-high numbers for the Padres. He's batting .302 and with an on-base percentage of .362.
- Including all the qualifying players in the majors, he is seventh in batting average, 28th in on-base percentage and 18th in slugging percentage.
- Machado heads into this game on a six-game hitting streak. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .410 with five doubles, a home run, three walks and six RBIs.
- Fernando Tatis Jr.'s .366 on-base percentage paces his team. He has a batting average of .268 while slugging .451.
- Including all qualifying hitters, he ranks 58th in batting average, 24th in on-base percentage and 61st in slugging percentage.
- Luis Arraez is batting .292 with 20 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 20 walks.
- Xander Bogaerts is hitting .270 with 24 doubles, seven home runs and 43 walks.
Mets vs Padres Head to Head
- 7/28/2025: 7-6 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
- 8/25/2024: 3-2 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
- 8/24/2024: 7-1 NYM (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
- 8/23/2024: 7-0 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
- 8/22/2024: 8-3 NYM (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
- 6/16/2024: 11-6 NYM (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
- 6/15/2024: 5-1 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
- 7/9/2023: 6-2 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
- 7/8/2023: 3-1 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -178, Underdog Moneyline: +150)
- 7/7/2023: 7-5 NYM (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
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