Mets vs Marlins Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 30

Odds updated as of 2:12 a.m.
The New York Mets are among the MLB teams busy on Thursday, versus the Miami Marlins.
Here's everything you need to know before checking out today's MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Mets vs Marlins Game Info
- New York Mets (46-63) vs. Miami Marlins (55-54)
- Date: Thursday, July 30, 2026
- Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Venue: Citi Field -- Queens, New York
- Coverage: SNY and Marlins.TV
Mets vs Marlins Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: NYM: (-130) | MIA: (+110)
- Spread: NYM: -1.5 (+172) | MIA: +1.5 (-210)
- Total: 7 -- Over: (-114) | Under: (-106)
Mets vs Marlins Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Nolan McLean (Mets) - 7-7, 3.32 ERA vs Eury Pérez (Marlins) - 5-8, 3.56 ERA
This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Mets will send Nolan McLean (7-7) to the mound, while Eury Perez (5-8) will answer the bell for the Marlins. McLean's team is 9-9-0 against the spread this season in his starts. McLean's team has been victorious in 43.8% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 7-9. The Marlins have an 8-10-0 record against the spread in Pérez's starts. The Marlins are 3-7 in Pérez's 10 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
Mets vs Marlins Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Mets win (54.4%)
Mets vs Marlins Moneyline
- New York is a -130 favorite on the moneyline, while Miami is a +110 underdog on the road.
Mets vs Marlins Spread
- The Marlins are at +1.5 on the runline against the Mets. The Marlins are -210 to cover the spread, and the Mets are +172.
Mets vs Marlins Over/Under
- The over/under for Mets-Marlins on July 30 is 7. The over is -114, and the under is -106.
Bet on New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins on FanDuel today!
Mets vs Marlins Betting Trends
- The Mets have been favorites in 59 games this season and have come away with the win 31 times (52.5%) in those contests.
- New York has a record of 20-22 in contests when bookmakers favor them by -130 or more on the moneyline.
- Contests with the Mets have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 46 of 106 chances this season.
- The Mets have posted a record of 50-56-0 against the spread this season.
- The Marlins are 22-35 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 38.6% of those games).
- Miami has a 14-20 record (winning 41.2% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +110 or longer.
- The Marlins have played in 108 games with an over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 55 times (55-51-2).
- The Marlins have a 55-53-0 record ATS this season (covering 50.9% of the time).
Mets Player Leaders
- Bo Bichette leads New York in slugging percentage (.366) thanks to 26 extra-base hits. He has a .256 batting average and an on-base percentage of .302.
- He ranks 71st in batting average, 121st in on-base percentage, and 127th in slugging among all qualifying hitters in baseball.
- Carson Benge is batting .262 with 14 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 32 walks, while slugging .392 with an on-base percentage of .325.
- Among qualified hitters, he is 61st in batting average, 81st in on-base percentage and 110th in slugging percentage.
- Benge heads into this game looking to extend his two-game hit streak. In his last five games he is batting .235 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
- Marcus Semien has 68 hits this season and has a slash line of .211/.267/.353.
- A.J. Ewing has been key for New York with 66 hits, an OBP of .344 plus a slugging percentage of .417.
- Ewing has safely hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with a double, three walks and two RBIs.
Marlins Player Leaders
- Otto Lopez has accumulated a team-high slugging percentage (.490) and paces the Marlins in hits (138). He's batting .329 and with an on-base percentage of .363.
- Including all qualifying hitters in the majors, he ranks second in batting average, 28th in on-base percentage and 25th in slugging percentage.
- Liam Hicks has nine doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 37 walks while batting .279. He's slugging .435 with an on-base percentage of .358.
- He ranks 33rd in batting average, 34th in on-base percentage and 66th in slugging percentage in the big leagues.
- Xavier Edwards has accumulated a team-high .373 on-base percentage.
- Javier Sanoja is hitting .265 with 21 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 16 walks.
Mets vs Marlins Head to Head
- 5/31/2026: 10-1 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
- 5/30/2026: 6-1 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
- 5/29/2026: 9-7 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
- 5/24/2026: 4-0 MIA (Favorite: Marlins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
- 5/23/2026: 4-1 MIA (Favorite: Marlins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
- 5/22/2026: 2-1 MIA (Favorite: Marlins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
- 9/28/2025: 4-0 MIA (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
- 9/27/2025: 5-0 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
- 9/26/2025: 6-2 MIA (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
- 8/31/2025: 5-1 MIA (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)
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