Mets vs Guardians Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for Aug. 4

Odds updated as of 2:13 a.m.

The MLB's Monday slate includes the New York Mets taking on the Cleveland Guardians.

All the info you need to make smart wagers on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook can be found below. Check out all of the latest MLB betting lines here.

Mets vs Guardians Game Info

• New York Mets (63-49) vs. Cleveland Guardians (56-55)
• Date: Monday, August 4, 2025
• Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Citi Field -- Queens, New York
• Coverage: SNY and CLEG

Mets vs Guardians Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: NYM: (-178) | CLE: (+150)
• Spread: NYM: -1.5 (+120) | CLE: +1.5 (-144)
• Total: 8 -- Over: (-122) | Under: (-100)

Mets vs Guardians Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Sean Manaea (Mets) - 1-1, 2.08 ERA vs Slade Cecconi (Guardians) - 5-4, 3.77 ERA

The probable starters are Sean Manaea (1-1) for the Mets and Slade Cecconi (5-4) for the Guardians. Manaea's team is 1-2-0 against the spread this season in his starts. Manaea's team has won 33.3% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (1-2). The Guardians have gone 8-4-0 against the spread when Cecconi starts. The Guardians have been the underdog on the moneyline in six of Cecconi's starts this season, and they went 3-3 in those matchups.

Mets vs Guardians Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Mets win (66.6%)

Mets vs Guardians Moneyline

• The moneyline numbers for Mets vs. Guardians reveal New York as the favorite (-178) and Cleveland as the underdog (+150) on the road.

Mets vs Guardians Spread

• The Guardians are at +1.5 on the runline against the Mets. The Guardians are -144 to cover the spread, and the Mets are +120.

Mets vs Guardians Over/Under

• The Mets-Guardians contest on Aug. 4 has been given an over/under of 8 runs. The over is set at -122 and the under at -100.

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Mets vs Guardians Betting Trends

• The Mets have won in 49, or 64.5%, of the 76 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
• This season New York has come away with a win 20 times in 24 chances when named as a favorite of at least -178 on the moneyline.
• The Mets' games have gone over the total in 47 of their 107 opportunities.
• In 107 games with a line this season, the Mets have a mark of 52-55-0 against the spread.
• The Guardians have been the underdog on the moneyline 62 total times this season. They've finished 25-37 in those games.
• Cleveland has a 2-7 record (winning just 22.2% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of +150 or longer.
• The Guardians have had an over/under set by bookmakers 108 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 49 of those games (49-56-3).
• The Guardians have a 55-53-0 record ATS this season (covering 50.9% of the time).

Mets Player Leaders

• Juan Soto leads New York with an OBP of .380 this season while batting .247 with 84 walks and 75 runs scored. He has a slugging percentage of .480.
• Among qualified batters in baseball, he ranks 107th in batting average, eighth in on-base percentage, and 31st in slugging.
• Soto hopes to build on a three-game hitting streak in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .158 with an RBI.
• Pete Alonso has 108 hits, which leads New York batters this season. He's batting .260 with 52 extra-base hits. He's also slugging .502 with an on-base percentage of .351.
• Among qualified batters, his batting average places him 74th, his on-base percentage 44th, and his slugging percentage 19th.
• Francisco Lindor has hit 21 homers with a team-high .439 SLG this season.
• Lindor has recorded a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .263 with a double, a home run, two walks and five RBIs.
• Brandon Nimmo has been key for New York with 106 hits, an OBP of .326 plus a slugging percentage of .452.
• Nimmo brings a two-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with a double, two walks and three RBIs.

Guardians Player Leaders

• Jose Ramirez has a team-high OBP (.377) and slugging percentage (.533), and paces the Guardians in hits (123, while batting .302).
• Including all the qualified hitters in the majors, his batting average is seventh, his on-base percentage is 14th, and he is 12th in slugging.
• Ramirez hopes to build on a five-game hitting streak in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .450 with a double, two home runs, three walks and five RBIs.
• Steven Kwan has 20 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 40 walks while hitting .281. He's slugging .399 with an on-base percentage of .344.
• He is currently 28th in batting average, 49th in on-base percentage and 106th in slugging percentage among all qualified batters.
• Carlos Santana is batting .230 with eight doubles, 11 home runs and 47 walks.
• Kyle Manzardo has 13 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 33 walks while batting .235.

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