Merrimack vs Mount St. Mary's Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MAAC Tournament

The No. 2 seed Merrimack Warriors (18-14, 14-6 MAAC) head into the MAAC tournament against the No. 6 seed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (20-12, 12-8 MAAC) on Friday at Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Merrimack vs. Mount St. Mary's Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 14, 2025
• Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPNews
• Location: Atlantic City, New Jersey
• Arena: Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall

Merrimack vs. Mount St. Mary's Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Merrimack win (62.6%)

Merrimack is a 6.5-point favorite over Mount St. Mary's on Friday and the over/under has been set at 125.5 points. Here are some betting insights and trends to help you make an informed wager on the outing.

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Merrimack vs. Mount St. Mary's: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Merrimack is 15-17-0 ATS this season.
• Mount St. Mary's has won 20 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 11 times.
• Merrimack (3-5) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 6.5 points or more this season (37.5%) than Mount St. Mary's (6-2) does as a 6.5+-point underdog (75%).
• The Warriors have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered four times in 13 games when playing at home, and they've covered 10 times in 17 games on the road.
• This year, the Mountaineers are 8-5-0 at home against the spread (.615 winning percentage). Away, they are 11-6-0 ATS (.647).
• Merrimack's record against the spread in conference action is 10-11-0.
• Mount St. Mary's has beaten the spread 13 times in 21 MAAC games.

Merrimack vs. Mount St. Mary's: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Merrimack has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 20 games this year and has walked away with the win 14 times (70%) in those games.
• The Warriors have a mark of 6-3 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -265 or better on the moneyline.
• Mount St. Mary's has won nine of the 16 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (56.2%).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +215 or longer, the Mountaineers have gone 4-4 (50%).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Merrimack has a 72.6% chance of walking away with the win.

Merrimack vs. Mount St. Mary's Head-to-Head Comparison

• Merrimack outscores opponents by 1.5 points per game (scoring 66 per game to rank 346th in college basketball while allowing 64.5 per contest to rank 17th in college basketball) and has a +48 scoring differential overall.
• Merrimack's leading scorer, Adam Clark, is 20th in the country putting up 20 points per game.
• Mount St. Mary's scores 71 points per game (259th in college basketball) and concedes 70.9 (147th in college basketball) for a +3 scoring differential overall.
• Mount St. Mary's leading scorer, Dola Adebayo, is 475th in college basketball, scoring 13.3 points per game.
• The 25.9 rebounds per game the Warriors average rank 360th in the nation, and are 11.5 fewer than the 37.4 their opponents record per contest.
• Bryan Etumnu leads the team with 6.1 rebounds per game (297th in college basketball play).
• The Mountaineers win the rebound battle by 3.9 boards on average. They collect 34.6 rebounds per game, 51st in college basketball, while their opponents grab 30.7.
• Jedy Cordilia is 158th in college basketball with 7.1 rebounds per game, leading the Mountaineers.
• Merrimack ranks 323rd in college basketball by averaging 89.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 40th in college basketball, allowing 87.4 points per 100 possessions.
• The Mountaineers rank 305th in college basketball averaging 90.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 106th, allowing 90.6 points per 100 possessions.

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