Maryland vs Illinois Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big Ten Tournament

The No. 7 seed Illinois Fighting Illini (21-11, 12-8 Big Ten) will square off in the Big Ten tournament against the No. 2 seed Maryland Terrapins (24-7, 14-6 Big Ten) on Friday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, beginning at 6:30 p.m. ET.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Maryland vs. Illinois Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Friday, March 14, 2025
- Game time: 6:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: Big Ten Network
- Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
- Arena: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Maryland vs. Illinois Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Maryland win (55.1%)
Maryland is a 1.5-point favorite over Illinois on Friday and the total has been set at 158.5 points. Below are some betting insights and trends if you are planning on making a wager on the matchup.
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Maryland vs. Illinois: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Maryland has won 17 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 14 times.
- Illinois has covered 16 times in 31 matchups with a spread this year.
- As a 1.5-point favorite or more in 2024-25, Maryland is 13-12 against the spread compared to the 3-4 ATS record Illinois racks up as a 1.5-point underdog.
- The Terrapins own a better record against the spread at home (12-7-0) than they do on the road (4-6-0).
- Against the spread, the Fighting Illini have been better at home (10-7-0) than away (5-5-0).
- Maryland is 11-9-0 against the spread in conference play this year.
- Illinois is 10-10-0 against the spread in Big Ten play this year.
Maryland vs. Illinois: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Maryland has come away with 17 wins in the 21 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
- This season, the Terrapins have been victorious 17 times in 21 chances when named as a favorite of at least -113 or better on the moneyline.
- Illinois has gone 2-5 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 28.6% of those games).
- In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -106 or longer, the Fighting Illini have gone 2-5 (28.6%).
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies Maryland has a 53.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Maryland vs. Illinois Head-to-Head Comparison
- Maryland is outscoring opponents by 14.9 points per game with a +462 scoring differential overall. It puts up 81.5 points per game (26th in college basketball) and allows 66.6 per contest (40th in college basketball).
- Maryland's leading scorer, Derik Queen, ranks 210th in the country putting up 15.7 points per game.
- Illinois puts up 84.4 points per game (10th in college basketball) while giving up 74.2 per contest (248th in college basketball). It has a +327 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 10.2 points per game.
- Kasparas Jakucionis' 15.0 points per game leads Illinois and ranks 262nd in the country.
- The Terrapins come out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 4.5 boards. They are collecting 34.5 rebounds per game (55th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 30.0 per contest.
- Julian Reese tops the team with 9.3 rebounds per game (19th in college basketball play).
- The 39.6 rebounds per game the Fighting Illini accumulate rank first in college basketball, 9.4 more than the 30.2 their opponents pull down.
- Tomislav Ivisic paces the Fighting Illini with 7.7 rebounds per game (85th in college basketball).
- Maryland averages 103.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (29th in college basketball), and allows 84.5 points per 100 possessions (13th in college basketball).
- The Fighting Illini average 102.0 points per 100 possessions (45th in college basketball), while giving up 89.7 points per 100 possessions (83rd in college basketball).
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