Louisville vs Cal Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 5

The California Golden Bears (13-16, 6-12 ACC) will attempt to stop a four-game road losing streak when they visit the Louisville Cardinals (23-6, 16-2 ACC) on March 5, 2025 at KFC Yum! Center.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Louisville vs. Cal Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 5, 2025
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ACC Network
• Location: Louisville, Kentucky
• Arena: KFC Yum! Center

Louisville vs. Cal Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Louisville win (93.3%)

Louisville is a 13.5-point favorite against Cal on Wednesday and the over/under has been set at 153.5 points. Here are a few betting trends and insights before making an informed wager on the contest.

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Louisville vs. Cal: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Louisville is 17-12-0 ATS this season.
• Cal has covered 16 times in 28 games with a spread this season.
• When the spread is set as 13.5 or more this season, Louisville (3-6) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (33.3%) than Cal (3-1) does as the underdog (75%).
• The Cardinals own a worse record against the spread in home games (6-9-0) than they do in road games (9-2-0).
• The Golden Bears' winning percentage against the spread at home is .438 (7-9-0). On the road, it is .818 (9-2-0).
• Louisville has 12 wins against the spread in 18 conference games this year.
• Cal has 11 wins against the spread in 18 ACC games this year.

Louisville vs. Cal: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Louisville has won in 19, or 82.6%, of the 23 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• The Cardinals have been a -1250 moneyline favorite on seven occasions this season and won every game.
• Cal is 3-12 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 20% of those games).
• The Golden Bears have played in three games as a moneyline underdog with odds of +740 or longer without a win.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Louisville has a 92.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Louisville vs. Cal Head-to-Head Comparison

• Louisville's +298 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 10.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 79.5 points per game (54th in college basketball) while giving up 69.2 per contest (92nd in college basketball).
• Chucky Hepburn's team-leading 16.3 points per game ranks 162nd in the country.
• Cal puts up 74.5 points per game (163rd in college basketball) while allowing 75.4 per contest (282nd in college basketball). It has a -25 scoring differential.
• Andrej Stojakovic leads Cal, scoring 17.2 points per game (99th in college basketball).
• The Cardinals pull down 35.1 rebounds per game (40th in college basketball) while conceding 29.9 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 5.2 boards per game.
• J'Vonne Hadley paces the Cardinals with 7.3 rebounds per game (127th in college basketball action).
• The Golden Bears prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 1.7 boards. They are recording 33 rebounds per game (118th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 31.3.
• Mady Sissoko is 74th in the country with 7.8 rebounds per game, leading the Golden Bears.
• Louisville ranks 48th in college basketball with 101.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 64th in college basketball defensively with 88.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Golden Bears rank 196th in college basketball with 95 points scored per 100 possessions, and 263rd defensively with 96.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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