Kentucky vs Oklahoma Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for SEC Tournament

The No. 6 seed Kentucky Wildcats (21-10, 10-8 SEC) and the No. 14 seed Oklahoma Sooners (20-12, 6-12 SEC) will look to move on in the SEC tournament on Thursday as they square off at 9:30 p.m. ET.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Kentucky vs. Oklahoma Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Thursday, March 13, 2025
- Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: SEC Network
- Location: Nashville, Tennessee
- Arena: Bridgestone Arena
Kentucky vs. Oklahoma Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Kentucky win (66.4%)
Take a look at the betting trends and insights below before making a wager on Thursday's Kentucky-Oklahoma spread (Kentucky -6.5) or over/under (159.5 points).
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Kentucky vs. Oklahoma: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Kentucky has put together a 16-15-0 ATS record so far this year.
- Oklahoma has won 17 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 15 times.
- As a 6.5-point favorite or more in 2024-25, Kentucky is 7-7 against the spread compared to the 3-5 ATS record Oklahoma racks up as a 6.5-point underdog.
- Against the spread, the Wildcats have fared better at home, covering 10 times in 18 home games, and four times in 10 road games.
- The Sooners' winning percentage against the spread at home is .471 (8-9-0). On the road, it is .444 (4-5-0).
- Kentucky is 10-8-0 against the spread in conference games this season.
- Oklahoma has 10 wins against the spread in 19 SEC games this year.
Kentucky vs. Oklahoma: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Kentucky has been victorious in 14, or 70%, of the 20 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
- This season, the Wildcats have been victorious 11 times in 13 chances when named as a favorite of at least -275 or shorter on the moneyline.
- Oklahoma has an 8-9 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 47.1% of those games).
- The Sooners have gone 1-6 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +220 or longer (14.3%).
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies Kentucky has a 73.3% chance of walking away with the win.
Kentucky vs. Oklahoma Head-to-Head Comparison
- Kentucky is outscoring opponents by 8.8 points per game with a +273 scoring differential overall. It puts up 85.8 points per game (third in college basketball) and allows 77 per outing (314th in college basketball).
- Otega Oweh's 16.2 points per game lead Kentucky and rank 174th in college basketball.
- Oklahoma's +133 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.2 points per game) is a result of putting up 78.7 points per game (65th in college basketball) while allowing 74.5 per outing (257th in college basketball).
- Jeremiah Fears is ranked 139th in the country with a team-high 16.7 points per game.
- The Wildcats are 48th in the country at 34.7 rebounds per game. That's 3.1 more than the 31.6 their opponents average.
- Amari Williams leads the Wildcats with 8.7 rebounds per game (41st in college basketball action).
- The Sooners record 29.3 rebounds per game (323rd in college basketball) while allowing 30.8 per outing to opponents. They are outrebounded by 1.5 boards per game.
- Jalon Moore's 5.8 rebounds per game lead the Sooners and rank 364th in the nation.
- Kentucky's 106.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 11th in college basketball, and the 95.4 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 237th in college basketball.
- The Sooners average 101.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (53rd in college basketball), and give up 96.2 points per 100 possessions (258th in college basketball).
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