Kentucky vs LSU Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 4

The LSU Tigers (14-15, 3-13 SEC) hope to stop a three-game losing streak when they visit the Kentucky Wildcats (19-10, 8-8 SEC) on March 4, 2025 at Rupp Arena. The matchup airs on ESPN2.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Kentucky vs. LSU Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, March 4, 2025
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Lexington, Kentucky
• Arena: Rupp Arena

Before you wager on Tuesday's Kentucky-LSU spread (Kentucky -11.5) or over/under (156.5 points), read the betting trends and insights below.

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Kentucky vs. LSU: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Kentucky has covered 14 times in 29 games with a spread this season.
• LSU has won 14 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 15 times.
• Kentucky covers the spread when it is an 11.5-point favorite or more 55.6% of the time. That's more often than LSU covers as an underdog of 11.5 or more (50%).
• Against the spread, the Wildcats have played better when playing at home, covering nine times in 17 home games, and three times in nine road games.
• The Tigers have been better against the spread at home (9-8-0) than on the road (4-5-0) this year.
• Kentucky is 8-8-0 against the spread in conference games this year.
• LSU is 7-9-0 against the spread in SEC play this year.

Kentucky vs. LSU: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Kentucky has been the moneyline favorite in 19 games this season and has come away with the win 13 times (68.4%) in those contests.
• The Wildcats have yet to lose in seven games when named as moneyline favorite of -820 or better.
• LSU has won four of the 19 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (21.1%).
• The Tigers have played as a moneyline underdog of +550 or longer in only two games this season, which they lost both.
• Kentucky has an implied victory probability of 89.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Kentucky vs. LSU Head-to-Head Comparison

• Kentucky is outscoring opponents by 8.1 points per game with a +234 scoring differential overall. It puts up 85.3 points per game (fifth in college basketball) and allows 77.2 per contest (317th in college basketball).
• Otega Oweh's team-leading 15.7 points per game ranks 205th in college basketball.
• LSU is outscoring opponents by 2.8 points per game, with a +82 scoring differential overall. It puts up 75.3 points per game (137th in college basketball) and allows 72.5 per outing (199th in college basketball).
• Camryn Carter's 16.9 points per game leads LSU and ranks 119th in college basketball.
• The 34.7 rebounds per game the Wildcats average rank 51st in the nation, and are 3.0 more than the 31.7 their opponents record per contest.
• Amari Williams' 8.8 rebounds per game lead the Wildcats and rank 38th in college basketball play.
• The Tigers record 32.9 rebounds per game (125th in college basketball) while allowing 34 per contest to opponents. They are outrebounded by 1.1 boards per game.
• Corey Chest averages 6.6 rebounds per game (220th in college basketball) to lead the Tigers.
• Kentucky averages 105.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (13th in college basketball), and allows 95.7 points per 100 possessions (249th in college basketball).
• The Tigers' 93.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 232nd in college basketball, and the 90.4 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 109th in college basketball.

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