Iowa State vs UCF Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for February 11

The UCF Knights (13-10, 4-8 Big 12) aim to end a four-game losing streak when they host the Iowa State Cyclones (18-5, 8-4 Big 12) on February 11, 2025 at Addition Financial Arena. The matchup airs on ESPN+.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Iowa State vs. UCF Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, February 11, 2025
• Game time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Orlando, Florida
• Arena: Addition Financial Arena

Iowa State vs. UCF Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Iowa State win (71.4%)

Iowa State is a 7.5-point favorite over UCF on Tuesday and the total has been set at 157.5 points. Here are a few betting insights and trends before making an informed wager on the outing.

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Iowa State vs. UCF: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Iowa State has won 14 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover nine times.
• UCF has won 11 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 12 times.
• When the spread is set as 7.5 or more this season, Iowa State (9-6) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (60%) than UCF (4-2) does as the underdog (66.7%).
• The Cyclones have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered eight times in 13 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered four times in seven opportunities in away games.
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Knights have a lower winning percentage at home (.429, 6-8-0 record) than away (.667, 4-2-0).
• Iowa State is 9-4-0 against the spread in conference action this year.
• Against the spread in Big 12 play, UCF is 6-6-0 this year.

Iowa State vs. UCF: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Iowa State has been the moneyline favorite in 14 games this season and has come away with the win 12 times (85.7%) in those contests.
• The Cyclones have a win-loss record of 9-1 when favored by -345 or better by oddsmakers this year.
• UCF has won 30% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (3-7).
• The Knights have a 1-5 record (winning just 16.7% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +270 or longer.
• Iowa State has an implied victory probability of 77.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Iowa State vs. UCF Head-to-Head Comparison

• Iowa State has a +338 scoring differential, topping opponents by 14.7 points per game. It is putting up 81.7 points per game to rank 26th in college basketball and is allowing 67.0 per contest to rank 53rd in college basketball.
• Iowa State's leading scorer, Curtis Jones, ranks 81st in the country scoring 17.7 points per game.
• UCF has a -7 scoring differential, putting up 79.6 points per game (57th in college basketball) and giving up 79.9 (346th in college basketball).
• Keyshawn Hall's 18.3 points per game paces UCF and ranks 59th in the nation.
• The Cyclones are 82nd in the nation at 33.9 rebounds per game. That's 5.5 more than the 28.4 their opponents average.
• Joshua Jefferson paces the Cyclones with 8.0 rebounds per game (72nd in college basketball action).
• The Knights are 166th in the country at 32.4 rebounds per game. That's 1.2 fewer than the 33.6 their opponents average.
• Hall averages 6.9 rebounds per game (179th in college basketball) to lead the Knights.
• Iowa State averages 103.0 points per 100 possessions on offense (36th in college basketball), and gives up 84.4 points per 100 possessions (19th in college basketball).
• The Knights rank 205th in college basketball averaging 94.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 250th, allowing 95.1 points per 100 possessions.

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