NCAAB
Iowa State vs UCF Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for January 21
The Iowa State Cyclones (15-2, 5-1 Big 12) will host the UCF Knights (12-5, 3-3 Big 12) after winning eight home games in a row.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Iowa State vs. UCF Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Tuesday, January 21, 2025
- Game time: 8:00 PM ET
- TV channel: ESPN+
- Location: Ames, Iowa
- Arena: James H. Hilton Coliseum
Iowa State vs. UCF Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Iowa State win (91.8%)
Before you bet on Tuesday's Iowa State-UCF spread (Iowa State -15.5) or total (151.5 points), see the betting insights and trends below.
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Iowa State vs. UCF: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Iowa State has covered 11 times in 17 matchups with a spread this season.
- UCF is 9-8-0 ATS this season.
- Iowa State (3-4) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 15.5 points or more this season (42.9%) than UCF (1-0) does as a 15.5+-point underdog (100%).
- The Cyclones have a worse record against the spread when playing at home (6-4-0) than they do on the road (3-1-0).
- The Knights' winning percentage against the spread at home last season was .667 (12-6-0). Away, it was .600 (6-4-0).
- Iowa State has covered the spread six times in seven conference games.
- UCF is 4-2-0 against the spread in Big 12 play this season.
Iowa State vs. UCF: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Iowa State has been victorious in nine of the 10 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
- The Cyclones have been listed as a favorite of -1786 or more on two occasions this season and won both games.
- UCF has won three of the seven games it was the moneyline underdog this season (42.9%).
- The Knights have played as a moneyline underdog of +920 or longer in only one game this season, which they lost.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies Iowa State has a 94.7% chance of walking away with the win.
Iowa State vs. UCF Head-to-Head Comparison
- Iowa State is outscoring opponents by 18.6 points per game with a +315 scoring differential overall. It puts up 83.8 points per game (22nd in college basketball) and gives up 65.2 per outing (35th in college basketball).
- Curtis Jones' team-leading 17.8 points per game ranks 73rd in college basketball.
- UCF puts up 78.9 points per game (83rd in college basketball) while allowing 77.4 per contest (313th in college basketball). It has a +26 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 1.5 points per game.
- Keyshawn Hall's 16.9 points per game paces UCF and ranks 111th in the country.
- The Cyclones grab 34.4 rebounds per game (88th in college basketball) while conceding 27.9 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 6.5 boards per game.
- Joshua Jefferson leads the team with 8.3 rebounds per game (57th in college basketball play).
- The Knights pull down 32.8 rebounds per game (163rd in college basketball), compared to the 33.5 of their opponents.
- Hall paces the team with 6.8 rebounds per game (191st in college basketball).
- Iowa State ranks 20th in college basketball with 105.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 17th in college basketball defensively with 82.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.
- The Knights rank 220th in college basketball with 94 points scored per 100 possessions, and 194th defensively with 92.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.
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