Iowa State vs Cincinnati Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big 12 Tournament

The No. 5 seed Iowa State Cyclones (23-8, 13-7 Big 12) square off against the No. 13 seed Cincinnati Bearcats (18-14, 7-13 Big 12) in the Big 12 tournament Wednesday at T-Mobile Center, starting at 12:30 p.m. ET. Both teams will attempt to take one step closer to securing an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Iowa State vs. Cincinnati Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 12, 2025
• Game time: 12:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Kansas City, Missouri
• Arena: T-Mobile Center

Iowa State vs. Cincinnati Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Iowa State win (74.4%)

Here's a look at some betting trends and insights for Iowa State (-8.5) versus Cincinnati on Wednesday. The over/under is set at 135.5 points for this game.

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Iowa State vs. Cincinnati: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Iowa State has compiled an 18-13-0 record against the spread this season.
• Cincinnati has put together a 16-16-0 record against the spread this season.
• Iowa State covers the spread when it is an 8.5-point favorite or more 47.4% of the time. That's less often than Cincinnati covers as an underdog of 8.5 or more (100%).
• The Cyclones have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered nine times in 17 games at home, and they've covered seven times in 11 games on the road.
• The Bearcats' winning percentage against the spread at home is .412 (7-10-0). Away, it is .538 (7-6-0).
• Iowa State's record against the spread in conference games is 13-8-0.
• Cincinnati has beaten the spread 10 times in 21 Big 12 games.

Iowa State vs. Cincinnati: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Iowa State has been victorious in 17, or 81%, of the 21 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This season, the Cyclones have come away with a win 10 times in 13 chances when named as a favorite of at least -420 or better on the moneyline.
• Cincinnati is 1-7 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 12.5% of those games).
• The Bearcats have played as a moneyline underdog of +320 or longer in just two games this season, which they lost both.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Iowa State has a 80.8% chance of pulling out a win.

Iowa State vs. Cincinnati Head-to-Head Comparison

• Iowa State is outscoring opponents by 12.6 points per game with a +390 scoring differential overall. It puts up 80.1 points per game (40th in college basketball) and gives up 67.5 per contest (54th in college basketball).
• Curtis Jones' team-leading 17.0 points per game ranks 109th in the country.
• Cincinnati puts up 71.0 points per game (264th in college basketball) while giving up 65.4 per outing (25th in college basketball). It has a +179 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 5.6 points per game.
• Jizzle James' team-leading 12.7 points per game rank him 577th in the nation.
• The 32.7 rebounds per game the Cyclones average rank 142nd in college basketball, and are 4.1 more than the 28.6 their opponents record per contest.
• Joshua Jefferson leads the team with 7.5 rebounds per game (108th in college basketball play).
• The Bearcats win the rebound battle by an average of 2.4 boards. They are grabbing 32.0 rebounds per game (183rd in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 29.6.
• Dillon Mitchell leads the team with 6.7 rebounds per game (208th in college basketball).
• Iowa State averages 101.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (52nd in college basketball), and allows 85.7 points per 100 possessions (20th in college basketball).
• The Bearcats average 94.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (215th in college basketball), and give up 87.1 points per 100 possessions (35th in college basketball).

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