Iowa State vs Baylor College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 7

The Baylor Bears (10-3, 0-1 Big 12) will try to extend a nine-game home win streak when they take on the Iowa State Cyclones (14-0, 1-0 Big 12) on January 7, 2026 at Foster Pavilion.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Iowa State vs. Baylor Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, January 7, 2026
• Game time: 8 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Peacock
• Location: Waco, Texas
• Arena: Foster Pavilion

Iowa State vs. Baylor Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Iowa State win (62.9%)

Here's a look at some betting trends for Iowa State (-4.5) versus Baylor on Wednesday. The total is set at 155.5 points for this game.

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Iowa State vs. Baylor: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Iowa State has covered eight times in 14 games with a spread this season.
• Baylor has compiled a 6-6-0 ATS record so far this season.
• Iowa State covers the spread when it is a 4.5-point favorite or more 58.3% of the time. That's more often than Baylor covers as an underdog of 4.5 or more (never covered this season).
• The Cyclones covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games last year. They covered nine times in 17 games at home, and they covered seven times in 11 games when playing on the road.
• The Bears performed better against the spread at home (8-7-0) than away (2-9-0) last season.

Iowa State vs. Baylor: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Iowa State has been named as the moneyline favorite nine times this year and has yet to lose any of those games.
• The Cyclones have been a -210 moneyline favorite on eight occasions this season and won every game.
• Baylor has been the moneyline underdog just two other times so far this season, and it lost both games.
• The Bears have played as a moneyline underdog of +172 or longer in just one game this season, which they lost.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Iowa State has a 67.7% chance of pulling out a win.

Iowa State vs. Baylor Head-to-Head Comparison

• Iowa State averages 89.6 points per game (19th in college basketball) while giving up 62.6 per outing (ninth in college basketball). It has a +379 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 27.0 points per game.
• Milan Momcilovic's team-leading 18.5 points per game ranks 64th in the nation.
• Baylor is outscoring opponents by 18.6 points per game, with a +242 scoring differential overall. It puts up 93.1 points per game (11th in college basketball) and gives up 74.5 per contest (213th in college basketball).
• Cameron Carr paces Baylor, putting up 21 points per game (18th in college basketball).
• The Cyclones prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 7.6 boards. They are collecting 33.1 rebounds per game (187th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 25.5 per contest.
• Joshua Jefferson is 127th in college basketball action with 7.3 rebounds per game to lead the Cyclones.
• The Bears rank 23rd in college basketball at 38.1 rebounds per game. That's 10 more than the 28.1 their opponents average.
• Caden Powell's 8.2 rebounds per game lead the Bears and rank 68th in the country.
• Iowa State averages 114.1 points per 100 possessions (fourth in college basketball), while giving up 79.7 points per 100 possessions (fourth in college basketball).
• The Bears' 110.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 12th in college basketball, and the 88.4 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 82nd in college basketball.

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