Illinois vs Purdue Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 7

The Purdue Boilermakers (21-9, 13-6 Big Ten) aim to stop a three-game road losing streak when they visit the Illinois Fighting Illini (19-11, 11-8 Big Ten) on March 7, 2025.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Illinois vs. Purdue Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 7, 2025
• Game time: 8 p.m. ET
• TV channel: FOX
• Location: Champaign, Illinois
• Arena: State Farm Center

Illinois vs. Purdue Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Illinois win (66.7%)

Read these betting trends and insights before you wager on Friday's Illinois-Purdue spread (Illinois -4.5) or total (158.5 points).

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

Illinois vs. Purdue: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Illinois has covered 15 times in 30 games with a spread this season.
• Purdue is 17-13-0 ATS this year.
• Illinois covers the spread when it is a 4.5-point favorite or more 57.9% of the time. That's more often than Purdue covers as an underdog of 4.5 or more (never covered this season).
• The Fighting Illini own a better record against the spread when playing at home (9-7-0) than they do on the road (5-5-0).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Boilermakers have a better winning percentage at home (.625, 10-6-0 record) than on the road (.600, 6-4-0).
• Illinois has nine wins against the spread in 19 conference games this season.
• Purdue is 13-6-0 against the spread in Big Ten play this year.

Illinois vs. Purdue: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Illinois has come away with 14 wins in the 20 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Fighting Illini have a win-loss record of 12-4 when favored by -192 or better by sportsbooks this year.
• Purdue has won 28.6% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (2-5).
• The Boilermakers have played as a moneyline underdog of +158 or longer in only two games this season, which they lost both.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Illinois has a 65.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Illinois vs. Purdue Head-to-Head Comparison

• Illinois has a +307 scoring differential, topping opponents by 10.3 points per game. It is putting up 83.6 points per game to rank 11th in college basketball and is allowing 73.3 per outing to rank 221st in college basketball.
• Kasparas Jakucionis' team-leading 15.4 points per game ranks 236th in college basketball.
• Purdue puts up 78.2 points per game (75th in college basketball) while giving up 70 per contest (120th in college basketball). It has a +245 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 8.2 points per game.
• Trey Kaufman-Renn is ranked 30th in college basketball with a team-leading 19.4 points per game.
• The Fighting Illini are first in the nation at 40 rebounds per game. That's 9.4 more than the 30.6 their opponents average.
• Tomislav Ivisic's 7.7 rebounds per game lead the Fighting Illini and rank 84th in college basketball play.
• The Boilermakers win the rebound battle by 1.4 boards on average. They collect 29.6 rebounds per game, 314th in college basketball, while their opponents grab 28.2.
• Kaufman-Renn leads the Boilermakers with 6.1 rebounds per game (296th in college basketball).
• Illinois ranks 69th in college basketball by averaging 100.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 60th in college basketball, allowing 88.4 points per 100 possessions.
• The Boilermakers average 105.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (17th in college basketball), and allow 94.2 points per 100 possessions (206th in college basketball).

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!