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Illinois vs Michigan State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for February 15

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Illinois vs Michigan State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for February 15

The Illinois Fighting Illini (17-8, 9-6 Big Ten) will host the Michigan State Spartans (19-5, 10-3 Big Ten) after winning three home games in a row.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Illinois vs. Michigan State Game Info and Odds

  • Game day: Saturday, February 15, 2025
  • Game time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV channel: FOX
  • Location: Champaign, Illinois
  • Arena: State Farm Center

Illinois vs. Michigan State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Illinois win (67.5%)

Take a look at some betting trends for Illinois (-6.5) versus Michigan State on Saturday. The total has been set at 157.5 points for this game.

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Illinois vs. Michigan State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • Illinois has won 13 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 12 times.
  • Michigan State has covered 14 times in 24 matchups with a spread this season.
  • Illinois covers the spread when it is a 6.5-point favorite or more 64.3% of the time. That's more often than Michigan State covers as an underdog of 6.5 or more (never covered this season).
  • At home, the Fighting Illini sport a better record against the spread (8-6-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (4-4-0).
  • Against the spread, the Spartans have had better results away (3-2-0) than at home (7-6-0).
  • Illinois is 7-8-0 against the spread in conference play this season.
  • Michigan State's Big Ten record against the spread is 8-5-0.

Illinois vs. Michigan State: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • Illinois has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 18 games this year and has walked away with the win 13 times (72.2%) in those games.
  • This year, the Fighting Illini have won eight of nine games when listed as at least -275 or better on the moneyline.
  • Michigan State has been the underdog on the moneyline four total times this season. Michigan State has finished 2-2 in those games.
  • The Spartans have not played a game this season with moneyline odds of +220 or longer.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Illinois has a 73.3% chance of pulling out a win.

Illinois vs. Michigan State Head-to-Head Comparison

  • Illinois outscores opponents by 13.8 points per game (scoring 85.1 per game to rank sixth in college basketball while giving up 71.3 per contest to rank 176th in college basketball) and has a +345 scoring differential overall.
  • Kasparas Jakucionis leads Illinois, recording 16 points per game (169th in the nation).
  • Michigan State's +281 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 11.7 points per game) is a result of putting up 79.3 points per game (61st in college basketball) while giving up 67.6 per contest (63rd in college basketball).
  • Jaden's team-leading 13.4 points per game rank him 448th in the country.
  • The Fighting Illini win the rebound battle by 12 boards on average. They collect 41.6 rebounds per game, which ranks first in college basketball, while their opponents grab 29.6 per contest.
  • Tomislav Ivisic's 8.5 rebounds per game lead the Fighting Illini and rank 47th in college basketball action.
  • The 37.2 rebounds per game the Spartans accumulate rank 10th in the nation, 9.6 more than the 27.6 their opponents collect.
  • Jaxon Kohler's 7.8 rebounds per game lead the Spartans and rank 79th in the nation.
  • Illinois averages 102 points per 100 possessions on offense (45th in college basketball), and allows 85.5 points per 100 possessions (29th in college basketball).
  • The Spartans average 101 points per 100 possessions on offense (61st in college basketball), and concede 86.1 points per 100 possessions (35th in college basketball).

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