Illinois vs Michigan State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for February 15

The Illinois Fighting Illini (17-8, 9-6 Big Ten) will attempt to extend a three-game home win streak when they take on the Michigan State Spartans (19-5, 10-3 Big Ten) on February 15, 2025 at State Farm Center.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Illinois vs. Michigan State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, February 15, 2025
• Game time: 8:00 PM ET
• TV channel: FOX
• Location: Champaign, Illinois
• Arena: State Farm Center

Illinois vs. Michigan State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Illinois win (67.5%)

Before making a bet on Saturday's Illinois-Michigan State spread (Illinois -6.5) or total (157.5 points), see the betting trends and insights below.

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Illinois vs. Michigan State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Illinois has covered 13 times in 25 matchups with a spread this season.
• Michigan State has put together a 14-10-0 record against the spread this season.
• Illinois covers the spread when it is a 6.5-point favorite or more 64.3% of the time. That's more often than Michigan State covers as an underdog of 6.5 or more (never covered this season).
• The Fighting Illini have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered eight times in 14 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered four times in eight opportunities in away games.
• Against the spread, the Spartans have had better results away (3-2-0) than at home (7-6-0).
• Illinois is 7-8-0 against the spread in conference games this season.
• Michigan State's Big Ten record against the spread is 8-5-0.

Illinois vs. Michigan State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Illinois has been victorious in 13, or 72.2%, of the 18 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This season, the Fighting Illini have been victorious 10 times in 12 chances when named as a favorite of at least -260 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Michigan State has won 50% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (2-2).
• The Spartans have yet to play a game with moneyline odds of +210 or longer.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Illinois has a 72.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Illinois vs. Michigan State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Illinois has a +345 scoring differential, topping opponents by 13.8 points per game. It is putting up 85.1 points per game to rank fifth in college basketball and is allowing 71.3 per outing to rank 179th in college basketball.
• Kasparas Jakucionis' 16 points per game lead Illinois and rank 169th in the country.
• Michigan State's +281 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 11.7 points per game) is a result of putting up 79.3 points per game (63rd in college basketball) while allowing 67.6 per contest (62nd in college basketball).
• Jaden paces Michigan State, putting up 13.4 points per game (454th in college basketball).
• The Fighting Illini rank first in the country at 41.6 rebounds per game. That's 12 more than the 29.6 their opponents average.
• Tomislav Ivisic is 46th in college basketball play with 8.5 rebounds per game to lead the Fighting Illini.
• The Spartans rank ninth in the nation at 37.2 rebounds per game. That's 9.6 more than the 27.6 their opponents average.
• Jaxon Kohler averages 7.8 rebounds per game (76th in college basketball) to lead the Spartans.
• Illinois ranks 46th in college basketball with 102 points scored per 100 possessions, and 27th in college basketball defensively with 85.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Spartans' 101 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 61st in college basketball, and the 86.1 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 33rd in college basketball.

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