Illinois State vs Missouri State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MVC Tournament

The No. 5 seed Illinois State Redbirds (18-13, 10-10 MVC) are taking on the No. 12 seed Missouri State Bears (9-22, 2-18 MVC) in the MVC tournament on Thursday at Enterprise Center, at 3:30 p.m. ET airing on ESPN+.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Illinois State vs. Missouri State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 6, 2025
• Game time: 3:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: St. Louis, Missouri
• Arena: Enterprise Center

Take a look at the betting trends and insights below before making a wager on Thursday's Illinois State-Missouri State spread (Illinois State -5.5) or over/under (133.5 points).

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Illinois State vs. Missouri State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Illinois State has covered 17 times in 30 games with a spread this season.
• Missouri State has covered 17 times in 29 chances against the spread this season.
• Illinois State covers the spread when it is a 5.5-point favorite or more 33.3% of the time. That's less often than Missouri State covers as an underdog of 5.5 or more (72.7%).
• The Redbirds own a worse record against the spread when playing at home (7-8-0) than they do in away games (8-4-0).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Bears have a lower winning percentage at home (.538, 7-6-0 record) than on the road (.615, 8-5-0).
• Illinois State has nine wins against the spread in 20 conference games this year.
• Missouri State's MVC record against the spread is 10-10-0.

Illinois State vs. Missouri State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Illinois State has been victorious in nine, or 60%, of the 15 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This year, the Redbirds have won seven of nine games when listed as at least -255 or better on the moneyline.
• Missouri State has won four of the 21 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (19%).
• The Bears have a record of 1-8 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +205 or longer (11.1%).
• Illinois State has an implied victory probability of 71.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Illinois State vs. Missouri State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Illinois State outscores opponents by 3.7 points per game (scoring 76.1 per game to rank 116th in college basketball while giving up 72.4 per outing to rank 194th in college basketball) and has a +115 scoring differential overall.
• Chase Walker's 15.1 points per game lead Illinois State and rank 254th in the nation.
• Missouri State is being outscored by 2.5 points per game, with a -77 scoring differential overall. It puts up 68.4 points per game (315th in college basketball), and allows 70.9 per outing (148th in college basketball).
• Dez White's 14.3 points per game paces Missouri State and ranks 340th in college basketball.
• The Redbirds prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 1.7 boards. They are pulling down 29.7 rebounds per game (306th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 28 per contest.
• Walker tops the Redbirds with six rebounds per game (318th in college basketball action).
• The Bears prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 2.1 boards. They are recording 29.5 rebounds per game (317th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 27.4.
• Michael Osei-Bonsu is 105th in the nation with 7.5 rebounds per game, leading the Bears.
• Illinois State's 105.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 14th in college basketball, and the 100.3 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 338th in college basketball.
• The Bears' 92.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 279th in college basketball, and the 95.7 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 248th in college basketball.

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