Houston vs Tennessee Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament Elite Eight

The No. 2 seed Tennessee Volunteers (30-7) will take the court for an NCAA Tournament Elite Eight matchup with the No. 1 seed Houston Cougars (33-4) on Sunday at Lucas Oil Stadium, airing on CBS starting at 2:20 p.m. ET, with the winner moving on to the Final Four.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Houston vs. Tennessee Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Sunday, March 30, 2025
• Game time: 2:20 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS
• Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
• Arena: Lucas Oil Stadium

Houston vs. Tennessee Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Houston win (54.2%)

Take a look at some betting trends for Houston (-2.5) versus Tennessee on Sunday. The over/under has been set at 124.5 points for this game.

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Houston vs. Tennessee: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Houston is 20-16-0 ATS this season.
• Tennessee is 20-17-0 ATS this year.
• Tennessee covers the spread when it is a 2.5-point underdog or more 60% of the time. That's more often than Houston covers as a favorite of 2.5 or more (54.3%).
• The Cougars sport a worse record against the spread in home games (10-7-0) than they do on the road (7-3-0).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Volunteers have a better winning percentage at home (.529, 9-8-0 record) than on the road (.455, 5-6-0).

Houston vs. Tennessee: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Houston has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 35 games this year and has walked away with the win 31 times (88.6%) in those games.
• The Cougars have a mark of 29-4 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -152 or better on the moneyline.
• Tennessee has put together a 3-3 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 50% of those games).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +126 or longer, the Volunteers have gone 1-2 (33.3%).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Houston has a 60.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Houston vs. Tennessee Head-to-Head Comparison

• Houston has a +580 scoring differential, topping opponents by 15.7 points per game. It is putting up 74.2 points per game to rank 162nd in college basketball and is giving up 58.5 per outing to rank first in college basketball.
• LJ Cryer's team-leading 15.3 points per game ranks 241st in the nation.
• Tennessee has a +435 scoring differential, topping opponents by 11.8 points per game. It is putting up 74.7 points per game, 148th in college basketball, and is giving up 62.9 per outing to rank eighth in college basketball.
• Tennessee's leading scorer, Chaz Lanier, is 73rd in the country, averaging 18 points per game.
• The Cougars grab 32.9 rebounds per game (125th in college basketball) while conceding 26.4 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 6.5 boards per game.
• J'wan Roberts' 6.4 rebounds per game lead the Cougars and rank 249th in college basketball action.
• The 33.2 rebounds per game the Volunteers accumulate rank 104th in the country, 6.1 more than the 27.1 their opponents collect.
• Igor Milicic Jr. averages 6.7 rebounds per game (209th in college basketball) to lead the Volunteers.
• Houston ranks 39th in college basketball by averaging 102.3 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is second in college basketball, allowing 80.7 points per 100 possessions.
• The Volunteers' 101.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 51st in college basketball, and the 85.1 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 10th in college basketball.

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