Houston vs Arizona Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big 12 Tournament Championship

The No. 1 seed Houston Cougars (28-4, 19-1 Big 12) square off against the No. 3 Arizona Wildcats (21-11, 14-6 Big 12) in the championship game of the Big 12 tournament on Saturday at 6 p.m. ET. The winner claims an automatic berth into the NCAA Tournament.
Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Houston vs. Arizona Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Saturday, March 15, 2025
- Game time: 6 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN
- Location: Kansas City, Missouri
- Arena: T-Mobile Center
Houston vs. Arizona Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Houston win (70.4%)
Before placing a wager on Saturday's Houston-Arizona spread (Houston -7.5) or over/under (134.5 points), check out the betting insights and trends below.
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Houston vs. Arizona: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Houston has compiled a 17-14-0 ATS record so far this year.
- Arizona has compiled a 16-15-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Cougars have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered 10 times in 17 games at home, and they've covered seven times in 10 games when playing on the road.
- The Wildcats' winning percentage against the spread at home is .562 (9-7-0). Away, it is .545 (6-5-0).
- Against the spread, in conference games, Houston is 12-8-0 this season.
- Arizona is 11-10-0 against the spread in Big 12 play this season.
Houston vs. Arizona: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Houston has come away with 26 wins in the 30 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
- The Cougars have a win-loss record of 22-2 when favored by -330 or better by oddsmakers this year.
- Arizona is 3-4 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 42.9% of those games).
- The Wildcats have not yet played as a moneyline underdog of +260 or longer.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies Houston has a 76.7% chance of walking away with the win.
Houston vs. Arizona Head-to-Head Comparison
- Houston outscores opponents by 15.9 points per game (scoring 74.3 per game to rank 158th in college basketball while giving up 58.4 per contest to rank first in college basketball) and has a +507 scoring differential overall.
- LJ Cryer's team-leading 15.3 points per game ranks 240th in the country.
- Arizona is outscoring opponents by 10.0 points per game, with a +318 scoring differential overall. It puts up 82.2 points per game (19th in college basketball) and gives up 72.2 per outing (193rd in college basketball).
- Caleb Love's team-leading 16.2 points per game rank him 174th in the nation.
- The Cougars rank 142nd in college basketball at 32.7 rebounds per game. That's 6.4 more than the 26.3 their opponents average.
- J'wan Roberts averages 6.3 rebounds per game (ranking 256th in college basketball) to lead the Cougars.
- The Wildcats grab 36.3 rebounds per game (15th in college basketball) while conceding 28.6 per contest to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 7.7 boards per game.
- Tobe Awaka tops the team with 7.9 rebounds per game (68th in college basketball).
- Houston scores 102.5 points per 100 possessions (35th in college basketball), while allowing 80.6 points per 100 possessions (first in college basketball).
- The Wildcats average 102.0 points per 100 possessions on offense (45th in college basketball), and allow 89.6 points per 100 possessions (80th in college basketball).
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