NZ - Cambridge - Race 5

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

4.8f

Unknown

Synthetic

10.0K

VIEW

Verdict

BRAZEN AFFAIR (2) has not missed a cheque in 7 starts here, including 3 wins, and she has needed all of her 3 starts this prep on the turf. She drops 8lbs from her last run, and is ready to win. On top. BAD EDUCATION (8) trekked South to Tauherenikau last time out, and peaked on his run late, finishing fourth. There will be no fitness excuses here, and he has top 3 claims in a modest field. KARYON (5) has been heading the right way with her form, and she has won here in the past. She will be peaking third up from a spell, and she may try to take this field all the way. CHEAP SAV (6) is normally better second up, but in this sort of field on her favoured surface, she could cause an upset. Watch for her late.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Last start 9th of 11 at Ellerslie on May 6 over 5 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Grinzinger Moon carrying 130lbs at $17.90. The start before that got back early second last in a small field at Te Aroha on March 28 over 5 ¾f, on a wet track, 2.75 len behind Cleat with 120lbs at $8.20. Finds a nice race and has strong claims. 1st Pick 2 Brazen Affair Jockey: Hayley Hassman Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Hayley Hassman T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	154	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Last start 9th of 11 at Ellerslie on May 6 over 5 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Grinzinger Moon carrying 130lbs at $17.90. The start before that got back early second last in a small field at Te Aroha on March 28 over 5 ¾f, on a wet track, 2.75 len behind Cleat with 120lbs at $8.20. Finds a nice race and has strong claims.
8	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 5th of 8 at Matamata on April 15 over 6f, in the wet, 7 len behind Lae Zee with 127lbs at $8.30. Last start 4th of 8 at Tauherenikau on May 3 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Albarossa with 122lbs at $10.30. Racing well. Anticipating sharp improvement. 2nd Pick 8 Bad Education Jockey: Amber Riddell Trainer: Josh King & Maija Vance J: Amber Riddell T: Josh King & Maija Vance	117	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 5th of 8 at Matamata on April 15 over 6f, in the wet, 7 len behind Lae Zee with 127lbs at $8.30. Last start 4th of 8 at Tauherenikau on May 3 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Albarossa with 122lbs at $10.30. Racing well. Anticipating sharp improvement.
1	Gelding back from a spell of 11 weeks. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign by 1.75 len New Plymouth Raceway March 7 over 7f slow track defeating Za Spirit carrying 129lbs at $7.30. When resuming last campaign sixth of 11 at Trentham December 14 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Omega Boy carrying 129lbs at $19.10. Winning hope. 3rd Pick 1 Vittorio Veneto Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Peter Lock J: Non Runner T: Peter Lock	92	-	-	-	19%	Scratched
Analysis Gelding back from a spell of 11 weeks. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign by 1.75 len New Plymouth Raceway March 7 over 7f slow track defeating Za Spirit carrying 129lbs at $7.30. When resuming last campaign sixth of 11 at Trentham December 14 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Omega Boy carrying 129lbs at $19.10. Winning hope.

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