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3:19 AM

NZH - Ashburton - Race 6

Harness
10 Runners
8.4f
Unknown
Synthetic
8.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ON YA BIKE (2) recorded another strong performance last start when he battled on bravely to finish second over 1 ³/16m at Kaikoura. Likely to get all the favours from this nice draw. Big chance based on those recent outings. NOT GUILTY (5) finished eighth last start over 1 ³/16m at Kaikoura, beaten 35 metres, after a good third at Oamaru the run prior. Primary contender if things go his way. HUMBER HAWK (6) should be ready to peak now after finishing second over 1 ¼m at Oamaru three-and-a-half weeks ago. Expect him to give this a real shake. THE JACKAL (3) finished 45 metres back in fourth over 1 ¹/16m at Alexandra Park on debut nine months ago. Resumes from a spell and is worth considering having won a recent nine runner over 1 ¼m at Rangiora.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
On Ya Bike silk

Solid run when a close second behind Hinemoana at Addington over 1 ³/16m in a 2yo+ on October 16 at $5.60. Then a handy effort when beaten by 3.5 m finishing second behind Turbulent at Kaikoura over 1 ³/16m in a 2yo+ on November 2 at $4.20. Expected to be in the finish again.

1st Pick
2

On Ya Bike

Jockey: Carter Dalgety

Trainer: Cran & Chrissie Dalgety

J: Carter Dalgety

T: Cran & Chrissie Dalgety

77---45%5/4

Analysis

Solid run when a close second behind Hinemoana at Addington over 1 ³/16m in a 2yo+ on October 16 at $5.60. Then a handy effort when beaten by 3.5 m finishing second behind Turbulent at Kaikoura over 1 ³/16m in a 2yo+ on November 2 at $4.20. Expected to be in the finish again.

5
Not Guilty silk

Last start 8th (Fr8) over 1 ³/16m at Kaikoura beaten 35 m by Turbulent (2:16.98) in 2yo+ on November 2 at $3.60. Before that, a good run when 3rd (Fr8) over 1 ¼m at Oamaru, beaten 6 m by A Mako Man (2:26.85) in 2yo on October 18 at $6.70. Sure to play a major role.

2nd Pick
5

Not Guilty

Jockey: Seth Hill

Trainer: Brendon Hill

J: Seth Hill

T: Brendon Hill

73---16%11/2

Analysis

Last start 8th (Fr8) over 1 ³/16m at Kaikoura beaten 35 m by Turbulent (2:16.98) in 2yo+ on November 2 at $3.60. Before that, a good run when 3rd (Fr8) over 1 ¼m at Oamaru, beaten 6 m by A Mako Man (2:26.85) in 2yo on October 18 at $6.70. Sure to play a major role.

6
Humber Hawk silk

Solid run when beaten by 2 m finishing fourth behind Wise Move at Mt Harding over 1m in a 2yo on October 11 at $2.40. Then a handy effort when beaten by 2.25 m finishing second behind A Mako Man at Oamaru over 1 ¼m in a 2yo on October 18 at $2. Winning claims.

3rd Pick
6

Humber Hawk

Jockey: Jonny Cox

Trainer: Cran & Chrissie Dalgety

J: Jonny Cox

T: Cran & Chrissie Dalgety

73---16%11/2

Analysis

Solid run when beaten by 2 m finishing fourth behind Wise Move at Mt Harding over 1m in a 2yo on October 11 at $2.40. Then a handy effort when beaten by 2.25 m finishing second behind A Mako Man at Oamaru over 1 ¼m in a 2yo on October 18 at $2. Winning claims.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.