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6:24 AM

NZH - Ashburton - Race 12

Harness
16 Runners
8.4f
Unknown
Synthetic
8.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LOTTIE'S MOMENT (8) drew a wide gate last start and was never a genuine threat, beaten 21 metres into 14th at Mt Harding over 1 ½m. Must overcome another very wide draw. Finds a suitable assignment and can turn things around. MUMSDAWITCH (16) pulled up last start over 1 ?m at Addington four weeks ago. Well-placed here and a forward showing is anticipated. SHEZA TRENDY ONE (14) is worth plenty of thought off a last-start win by 12 metres at Phar Lap Raceway over 1 ¼m. HARRIET'S MOMENT (13) is a lot better than her recent form would suggest and should be included in exotic bets for value.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Lottie's Moment silk

Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start 14th (Fr9) over 1 ½m at Mt Harding, beaten 21 m by Vertigo (3:10.50) in 3yo+ on October 4 at $6.60. The run before 13th ( U1) over 1m at Addington, beaten 70 m by Request (3:23.90) in 3yo+ on September 25 at $16.10. Can do a lot better in this suitable contest.

1st Pick
8

Lottie's Moment

Jockey: John Morrison

Trainer: John Morrison

J: John Morrison

T: John Morrison

77---29%5/2

Analysis

Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start 14th (Fr9) over 1 ½m at Mt Harding, beaten 21 m by Vertigo (3:10.50) in 3yo+ on October 4 at $6.60. The run before 13th ( U1) over 1m at Addington, beaten 70 m by Request (3:23.90) in 3yo+ on September 25 at $16.10. Can do a lot better in this suitable contest.

16
Mumsdawitch silk

Last start failed to finish at Addington on October 16 over 1m. Performed better the start before with a solid effort when 2nd (FrU1) over 1m at Ascot Park Raceway beaten 4 m by Mor Moonlight (2:44.31) on October 8 at $5. Well placed to make amends.

2nd Pick
16

Mumsdawitch

Jockey: Matthew Williamson

Trainer: Matthew Williamson

J: Matthew Williamson

T: Matthew Williamson

75---19%9/2

Analysis

Last start failed to finish at Addington on October 16 over 1m. Performed better the start before with a solid effort when 2nd (FrU1) over 1m at Ascot Park Raceway beaten 4 m by Mor Moonlight (2:44.31) on October 8 at $5. Well placed to make amends.

14
Sheza Trendy One silk

Last start won by 12 m as favourite (Fr5) at Phar Lap Raceway (2:37.10) beating Heza Cool Dude in 3yo+ on October 25 at $3.50. Top chance based on the latest effort.

3rd Pick
14

Sheza Trendy One

Jockey: Olivia Thornley

Trainer: N S Taylor

J: Olivia Thornley

T: N S Taylor

72---12%8/1

Analysis

Last start won by 12 m as favourite (Fr5) at Phar Lap Raceway (2:37.10) beating Heza Cool Dude in 3yo+ on October 25 at $3.50. Top chance based on the latest effort.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.