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12:40 midnight

NZH - Ashburton Raceway - Race 3

Harness
15 Runners
8.4f
Unknown
Synthetic
10.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

AXEL ROSE (5) finished eighth last start over 1 ¹¹/16m at Ascot Park Raceway, beaten 160 metres, after a good third at Addington the run prior. Finds a tougher race but he has the ability to test this field. PRINCESS SADIE (14) was in the money at Mt Harding two runs ago before finishing second at her latest appearance over 1 ?m at Ascot Park Raceway, beaten 8 metres. Draws out a little on the second line and may need luck at some point. Beautifully placed and is sure to prove tough to beat. FREYA (8) is next in line and although she has to contend with an awkward gate a win is not out of the question. LUVAVICI (3) finished a game fourth last start when getting checked in the running. Should not have any excuses from the favourable draw.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Axel Rose silk

Last start was well beaten into eighth behind Duchess Maria at Ascot Park Raceway over 1 ¹¹/16m on October 15 at $3.50. Raced better the start before that with a game effort when 3rd ( 2) over 1m at Addington beaten 6 m by Bravehearthighlander (3:18.10) in 4yo+ on October 9 at $3.30. Sure to go well.

1st Pick
5

Axel Rose

Jockey: Matthew Williamson

Trainer: Matthew Williamson

J: Matthew Williamson

T: Matthew Williamson

77---29%5/2

Analysis

Last start was well beaten into eighth behind Duchess Maria at Ascot Park Raceway over 1 ¹¹/16m on October 15 at $3.50. Raced better the start before that with a game effort when 3rd ( 2) over 1m at Addington beaten 6 m by Bravehearthighlander (3:18.10) in 4yo+ on October 9 at $3.30. Sure to go well.

14
Princess Sadie silk

Solid performance when beaten by 2.25 m finishing third behind Vertigo at Mt Harding over 1 ½m in a 3yo+ on October 4 at $7.10. Then a handy effort when beaten by 8 m finishing second behind Penelope Lane at Ascot Park Raceway over 1m in a 4yo+ M on October 15 at $5.70. Will give a good account.

2nd Pick
14

Princess Sadie

Jockey: Nathan Williamson

Trainer: Matthew Williamson

J: Nathan Williamson

T: Matthew Williamson

73---13%7/1

Analysis

Solid performance when beaten by 2.25 m finishing third behind Vertigo at Mt Harding over 1 ½m in a 3yo+ on October 4 at $7.10. Then a handy effort when beaten by 8 m finishing second behind Penelope Lane at Ascot Park Raceway over 1m in a 4yo+ M on October 15 at $5.70. Will give a good account.

8
Freya silk

Having her second run back from a spell. Game effort when 2nd ( U1) over 1m at Addington beaten 1.4 m by Dreams Pat (3:17.84) in 3yo+ on October 16 at $9.40. Another big run is on the cards.

3rd Pick
8

Freya

Jockey: Ben Hope

Trainer: Greg & Ben Hope

J: Ben Hope

T: Greg & Ben Hope

73---13%7/1

Analysis

Having her second run back from a spell. Game effort when 2nd ( U1) over 1m at Addington beaten 1.4 m by Dreams Pat (3:17.84) in 3yo+ on October 16 at $9.40. Another big run is on the cards.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.