NZH - Ashburton Raceway - Race 2

Harness

16 Runners

8.4f

Unknown

Synthetic

7.5K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

LA CONCHA (2) scored at Addington three runs ago but has been unplaced in two subsequent runs, the latest when sixth over 1 ¼m at Phar Lap Raceway, beaten 6 metres. Hard to beat from a superior draw this time. MOUTON CADET (14) is in good form at present. Finished third at his latest appearance over 1 ½m at Central Southland Raceway, beaten 4.5 metres. Draws out a little on the second line and may need luck at some point. Stepping up a level this time, but on his best form, he is capable of testing his rivals. SOFIA ROSE (1) has drawn perfectly for her, and she is better than her last-start eighth over 1 ¼m at Phar Lap Raceway. OCEAN OF TEARS (11) cops a tough gate, but she has been near enough lately. Each way value.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Recent form below what he is capable of. Last start 6th (Fr5) over 1 ¼m at Phar Lap Raceway beaten 6 m by Shards Lyric (2:32.63) in 3yo+ on May 24 at $6.30. The run before 10th (Fr3) over 1 ¼m at Rangiora beaten 21 m by Seaside Croft (2:30.00) in 3yo+ on May 17 at $16. Coming good it seems so worth following up. 1st Pick 2 La Concha Jockey: Carter Dalgety Trainer: Cran & Chrissie Dalgety J: Carter Dalgety T: Cran & Chrissie Dalgety	77	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Recent form below what he is capable of. Last start 6th (Fr5) over 1 ¼m at Phar Lap Raceway beaten 6 m by Shards Lyric (2:32.63) in 3yo+ on May 24 at $6.30. The run before 10th (Fr3) over 1 ¼m at Rangiora beaten 21 m by Seaside Croft (2:30.00) in 3yo+ on May 17 at $16. Coming good it seems so worth following up.
14	Fair run when beaten by 4 m finishing third behind Topaz at Addington over 1 ³/16m in a 4yo+ on May 13 at $5.90. Then a handy effort when beaten by 4.5 m finishing third behind Durrant at Central Southland Raceway over 1 ½m in a 3yo+ on May 24 at $5.40. Each-way player. 2nd Pick 14 Mouton Cadet Jockey: Mia Holbrough Trainer: Bruce Negus J: Mia Holbrough T: Bruce Negus	75	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Fair run when beaten by 4 m finishing third behind Topaz at Addington over 1 ³/16m in a 4yo+ on May 13 at $5.90. Then a handy effort when beaten by 4.5 m finishing third behind Durrant at Central Southland Raceway over 1 ½m in a 3yo+ on May 24 at $5.40. Each-way player.
1	Last start 8th (Fr4) over 1 ¼m at Phar Lap Raceway, beaten 30 m by Franco Chaplin (2:32.10) in 3yo+ on May 24 at $2.70. Before that, 4th (Fr3) over 1 ³/16m at Addington, beaten 7 m by Heaven (2:27.60) on May 13 at $23.30. Capable of a better showing. 3rd Pick 1 Sofia Rose Jockey: Hayden Douglas Trainer: Kevin Fairbairn J: Hayden Douglas T: Kevin Fairbairn	74	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Last start 8th (Fr4) over 1 ¼m at Phar Lap Raceway, beaten 30 m by Franco Chaplin (2:32.10) in 3yo+ on May 24 at $2.70. Before that, 4th (Fr3) over 1 ³/16m at Addington, beaten 7 m by Heaven (2:27.60) on May 13 at $23.30. Capable of a better showing.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.