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5:17 AM

NZH - Ashburton Raceway - Race 11

Harness
8 Runners
8.4f
Unknown
Synthetic
22.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SONOFAMISTERY (6) finished second last start, beaten 7 metres at Addington over 1 ³/16m. Beautifully placed and is sure to play a major role. FOREVER MIKI (7) scored at Addington two runs ago before having his colours lowered when tenth at his latest appearance over 1 ³/16m at Addington, beaten 20 metres. Must overcome a very wide draw. Needs to be at his best to beat this field but he good enough to play a major role. CAPTAIN TYRON (5) finished third at Addington last time. Consistent performer whose best form stacks up favourably so he must be included in exotic bets. FREEZE FRAME (4) must be respected after scoring last start by 2 metres at Addington over 1 ?m.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Sonofamistery silk

Two back was beaten by 6 m finishing fifth behind Jumal at Addington over 1 ³/16m in a 3yo on September 25 at $34. Then a handy effort when beaten by 7 m finishing second behind Jumal at Addington over 1 ³/16m in a 3yo on October 9 at $34.70. Fitter and should run well.

1st Pick
6

Sonofamistery

Jockey: Tim Williams

Trainer: Steve & Amanda Telfer

J: Tim Williams

T: Steve & Amanda Telfer

77---40%6/4

Analysis

Two back was beaten by 6 m finishing fifth behind Jumal at Addington over 1 ³/16m in a 3yo on September 25 at $34. Then a handy effort when beaten by 7 m finishing second behind Jumal at Addington over 1 ³/16m in a 3yo on October 9 at $34.70. Fitter and should run well.

7
Forever Miki silk

Failed to impress last start, 10th (Fr7) over 1 ³/16m at Addington beaten 20 m by Jumal (2:22.10) in 3yo on September 25 at $7.80. Showed ability the run before when he won by 1.1 m as favourite (Fr4) at Addington (2:25.70) beating Cath in 3yo+ on September 18 at $2.70. Expected to go well.

2nd Pick
7

Forever Miki

Jockey: Sarah O'reilly

Trainer: Brent & Tim White

J: Sarah O'reilly

T: Brent & Tim White

76---34%2/1

Analysis

Failed to impress last start, 10th (Fr7) over 1 ³/16m at Addington beaten 20 m by Jumal (2:22.10) in 3yo on September 25 at $7.80. Showed ability the run before when he won by 1.1 m as favourite (Fr4) at Addington (2:25.70) beating Cath in 3yo+ on September 18 at $2.70. Expected to go well.

5
Captain Tyron silk

Two back was well beaten into eighth behind Quinn at Addington over 1m in a 3yo+ on October 2 at $3.20. Then a handy effort when beaten by 10 m finishing third behind Franco Lomu at Addington over 1 ³/16m in a 3yo CG on October 16 at $22.30. Sure to be thereabouts.

3rd Pick
5

Captain Tyron

Jockey: John Dunn

Trainer: Robert & Jenna Dunn

J: John Dunn

T: Robert & Jenna Dunn

72---12%8/1

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into eighth behind Quinn at Addington over 1m in a 3yo+ on October 2 at $3.20. Then a handy effort when beaten by 10 m finishing third behind Franco Lomu at Addington over 1 ³/16m in a 3yo CG on October 16 at $22.30. Sure to be thereabouts.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.