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8:55 AM

NZH - Alexandra Park - Race 8

Harness
14 Runners
10.9f
Unknown
Synthetic
8.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SAMMY LINCOLN (2) continued a strong run of recent form and deserved his victory last time out, scoring by 3.5 metres over 1 ?m at this track. No excuses from this advantageous draw. That latest effort is good enough to put him right in the finish. GEORGIE BEST (3) resumes here after closing his last campaign with a thirteenth at this track on September 5. Talented and has plenty of upside. Capable of playing a major role so has to be respected. SECRET BEACH (5) didn't do a bad job when fourth over 1 ¹/16m at this track last time out. INCENTIVISE (11) was well supported when resuming from a spell last start over 1 ¹/16m at Alexandra Park but broke badly in the score-up and was pulled up. With better racing manners has top-three claims.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Sammy Lincoln silk

Racing consistently. Last start won by 3.5 m as favourite (Sr1) at this track (2:43.80) beating Sriracha in 2yo+ on May 15 at $1.50. Looks hard to beat again.

1st Pick
2

Sammy Lincoln

Jockey: Harrison Orange

Trainer: Ray Green & Nathan Delany

J: Harrison Orange

T: Ray Green & Nathan Delany

77---29%5/2

Analysis

Racing consistently. Last start won by 3.5 m as favourite (Sr1) at this track (2:43.80) beating Sriracha in 2yo+ on May 15 at $1.50. Looks hard to beat again.

3
Georgie Best silk

Resuming after a spell of nine months. Finished off last preparation when well beaten into thirteenth behind Cyclone Rebel at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a 2yo CG on September 5 at $3.30. Previous preparation first-up won by a neck (Fr6) at this track (2:47.10) beating Captain Moonlight in 2yo+ on August 8 at $1.90. Very hard to beat.

2nd Pick
3

Georgie Best

Jockey: Andre Poutama

Trainer: Nathan Purdon

J: Andre Poutama

T: Nathan Purdon

74---15%6/1

Analysis

Resuming after a spell of nine months. Finished off last preparation when well beaten into thirteenth behind Cyclone Rebel at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a 2yo CG on September 5 at $3.30. Previous preparation first-up won by a neck (Fr6) at this track (2:47.10) beating Captain Moonlight in 2yo+ on August 8 at $1.90. Very hard to beat.

5
Secret Beach silk

Last start was well beaten into fourth behind Prince Lincoln at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a 3yo+ on May 8 at $2.70. Performed better the start before where he won by 1.5 m (Fr1) at Cambridge Raceway (2:39.50) beating Life Less Ordinary in 3yo+ on April 2 at $5.20. Rates well as an each-way chance.

3rd Pick
5

Secret Beach

Jockey: Kristina Denifostova

Trainer: Steve & Amanda Telfer

J: Kristina Denifostova

T: Steve & Amanda Telfer

73---13%7/1

Analysis

Last start was well beaten into fourth behind Prince Lincoln at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a 3yo+ on May 8 at $2.70. Performed better the start before where he won by 1.5 m (Fr1) at Cambridge Raceway (2:39.50) beating Life Less Ordinary in 3yo+ on April 2 at $5.20. Rates well as an each-way chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.