NZH - Alexandra Park - Race 1

Harness

7 Runners

8.4f

Unknown

Synthetic

8.4K

VIEW

Verdict

INCENTIVISE (2) scored by 4 metres at this track over 1m last start at his first run back from a spell. Has the benefit of a good draw. Primary contender in a similar race. MAMA'S WISH (1) finished third last start over 1 ¹/16m at this track, beaten 7 metres, after a good win at this track the run prior. Will enjoy a nice run from this favourable starting position. Has the talent to take care of this field. LULANA (3) is worth another chance after a last-start seventh over 1 ?m at this track a week ago. LINCOLN WAVE (4) returns from a spell of nine weeks. Genuine type who has won first-up before so is worth serious consideration.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Continued his steady form from last campaign first-up. Will strip fitter and will be hard to beat again. 1st Pick 2 Incentivise Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Nathan Purdon J: Non Runner T: Nathan Purdon	77	-	-	-	56%	Scratched
Analysis Continued his steady form from last campaign first-up. Will strip fitter and will be hard to beat again.
1	Last start solid effort when 3rd (Fr7) over 1 ¹/16m at this track beaten 7 m by B Envious (2:00.93) in 3yo+ on October 9 at $5.50. Two runs back won by 1.1 m (Fr5) at this track (2:40.56) beating Georgie Best in 3yo+ on September 25 at $6.20 at the bell was leading. Drawn to advantage and expected to go well again. 2nd Pick 1 Mama's Wish Jockey: Brooke Wilkins Trainer: Barry Purdon & Scott Phelan J: Brooke Wilkins T: Barry Purdon & Scott Phelan	74	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Last start solid effort when 3rd (Fr7) over 1 ¹/16m at this track beaten 7 m by B Envious (2:00.93) in 3yo+ on October 9 at $5.50. Two runs back won by 1.1 m (Fr5) at this track (2:40.56) beating Georgie Best in 3yo+ on September 25 at $6.20 at the bell was leading. Drawn to advantage and expected to go well again.
3	Last start 7th (Fr3) over 1m at this track well beaten by B Envious (2:41.54) in 3yo+ on October 30 at $4. At the run before 5th (Sr3) over 1 ¹/16m at this track, beaten 10 m by B Envious (2:00.93) in 3yo+ on October 9 at $7.30. Can make amends. 3rd Pick 3 Lulana Jockey: Andre Poutama Trainer: Arna Donnelly J: Andre Poutama T: Arna Donnelly	72	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Last start 7th (Fr3) over 1m at this track well beaten by B Envious (2:41.54) in 3yo+ on October 30 at $4. At the run before 5th (Sr3) over 1 ¹/16m at this track, beaten 10 m by B Envious (2:00.93) in 3yo+ on October 9 at $7.30. Can make amends.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.