NZH - Addington - Race 8

Harness

10 Runners

12.9f

Unknown

Synthetic

14.3K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

ROCK LOBSTER (10) is in fine form having won three in a row at this venue, adding to an impressive sequence of top-two finishes. Goes back another in the handicap but could continue the winning streak. WALKINONSUNSHINE (9) is racing well a string of top-three finishes at Alexandra Park. Placed at Group 3 level last start and recorded a standing start win three back. Strong claims. NELLIE DOYLE (6) has been ticking along well including a close second from this mark two back at this circuit and distance. WILMA'S BOY (2) deserves respect having won two of three previous attempts at this circuit and distance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
10	Brings the right form to the table. Won by 2.25 m as favourite ( U2) at this track (3:21.10) beating Freya in 3yo+ on March 20 at $2. Two runs back won by a neck as favourite (FrU1) at this track (3:20.20) beating Fiery Bandito in 3yo+ on March 13 at $3.10. In the mix again. 1st Pick 10 Rock Lobster Jockey: John Dunn Trainer: Robert & Jenna Dunn J: John Dunn T: Robert & Jenna Dunn	77	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Brings the right form to the table. Won by 2.25 m as favourite ( U2) at this track (3:21.10) beating Freya in 3yo+ on March 20 at $2. Two runs back won by a neck as favourite (FrU1) at this track (3:20.20) beating Fiery Bandito in 3yo+ on March 13 at $3.10. In the mix again.
9	Not far away at the last couple starts, Finished 4.5 m third behind Belle Neige at Alexandra Park over 1 ¹/16m last start. Before that was beaten 3.5 metres second again at Alexandra Park over 1 ¹¹/16m in FM on February 27. One of the main contenders. 2nd Pick 9 Walkinonsunshine Jockey: Matthew Williamson Trainer: Tom Bagrie J: Matthew Williamson T: Tom Bagrie	76	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Not far away at the last couple starts, Finished 4.5 m third behind Belle Neige at Alexandra Park over 1 ¹/16m last start. Before that was beaten 3.5 metres second again at Alexandra Park over 1 ¹¹/16m in FM on February 27. One of the main contenders.
6	Last start was well beaten into fourth behind Mr Love at this track over 1m in a 3yo+ on March 27 at $6.40. Raced better the start before that with a good run when 2nd ( 1) over 1m at this track, beaten 0.5 m by One Over Da Line (3:18.40) on March 20 at $2.30. Will be right in the thick of things. 3rd Pick 6 Nellie Doyle Jockey: Blair Orange Trainer: Tim Trathen J: Blair Orange T: Tim Trathen	75	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Last start was well beaten into fourth behind Mr Love at this track over 1m in a 3yo+ on March 27 at $6.40. Raced better the start before that with a good run when 2nd ( 1) over 1m at this track, beaten 0.5 m by One Over Da Line (3:18.40) on March 20 at $2.30. Will be right in the thick of things.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.