NZH - Addington - Race 5

Harness

9 Runners

12.9f

Unknown

Synthetic

4.7K

VIEW

Verdict

ZOOM X (5) produced another strong performance last time when he drew wider and battled on for third at Mt Harding. That made it back-to-back placings so his hoof is on the till and he jumps up to a distance where he is proven so could break through. OKIWI BAY (1) has been coming from wider or second line barriers but has produced some decent efforts including a third at Ashburton two back. Should have no excuses from the inside draw. LONGVIEW TUI (8) has had little luck in recent attempts. Draws wide but has placed in both attempts at this circuit and distance. DON JUAN (3) draws well and came from wider to place the last time he raced here so deserves respect.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Solid run when a close second behind Suspicious Captain at Ashburton Raceway over 1 ¹/16m in a 3yo+ on August 30 at $3.50. Then a handy effort when beaten by 8 m finishing third behind Donttelltheboys at Mt Harding over 1m in a 4yo+ on September 6 at $2.10. Well placed to go a couple better. 1st Pick 5 Zoom X Jockey: Samantha Ottley Trainer: Mark Jones J: Samantha Ottley T: Mark Jones	77	-	-	-	50%	1/1
Analysis Solid run when a close second behind Suspicious Captain at Ashburton Raceway over 1 ¹/16m in a 3yo+ on August 30 at $3.50. Then a handy effort when beaten by 8 m finishing third behind Donttelltheboys at Mt Harding over 1m in a 4yo+ on September 6 at $2.10. Well placed to go a couple better.
1	Last start was well beaten into sixth behind Choco Lou at Mt Harding over 1 ½m in a 3yo+ on September 6 at $9. Performed better the start before with a good run when 3rd (Fr7) over 1 ½m at Ashburton Raceway beaten 7 m by Sans Repos (3:02.70) in 3yo+ on August 30 at $26.20. Rates highly. Big chance. 2nd Pick 1 Okiwi Bay Jockey: Tim Williams Trainer: Peter & Mitchell Robertson J: Tim Williams T: Peter & Mitchell Robertson	72	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Last start was well beaten into sixth behind Choco Lou at Mt Harding over 1 ½m in a 3yo+ on September 6 at $9. Performed better the start before with a good run when 3rd (Fr7) over 1 ½m at Ashburton Raceway beaten 7 m by Sans Repos (3:02.70) in 3yo+ on August 30 at $26.20. Rates highly. Big chance.
8	Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start 7th (Fr2) over 1 ³/16m at this track beaten 30 m by Royal Belle (2:23.80) in 3yo+ on September 4 at $119.40. The run previous 8th (Fr1) over 1 ³/16m at this track beaten 13 m by Bronski (2:26.70) in 3yo+ on August 28 at $13.80. Expecting better things this time around. 3rd Pick 8 Longview Tui Jockey: Blair Orange Trainer: Ken Barron J: Blair Orange T: Ken Barron	74	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start 7th (Fr2) over 1 ³/16m at this track beaten 30 m by Royal Belle (2:23.80) in 3yo+ on September 4 at $119.40. The run previous 8th (Fr1) over 1 ³/16m at this track beaten 13 m by Bronski (2:26.70) in 3yo+ on August 28 at $13.80. Expecting better things this time around.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

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A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.