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2:52 AM

NZH - Addington - Race 4

Harness
14 Runners
9.8f
Unknown
Synthetic
17.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SEMBA (11) races at this circuit for the first time but has been going well of late. Placed two back then came from this row and finished fourth at his latest appearance at Kaikoura. He is up to winning this with even luck. MIKI'S COURAGE (7) produced yet another strong performance last time when he came from a similar draw and battled on bravely for third at this circuit and distance, adding to a string of recent minor placings. Could break through. ZARLINI (8) was quite consistent before the spell and while she draws wide for her return he has been trialling well. KOTARE KELSO (3) was solid last time and recorded three successive placings prior. Draws to be competitive.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
11
Semba silk

Last start 4th (Sr1) over 1 ³/16m at Kaikoura beaten 4 m by Flying Bird (2:17.60) in 4yo+ on November 3 at $2. Before that, a good run when 3rd (Fr5) over 1m at Phar Lap Raceway, beaten 8 m by Hadron Collider (3:18.80) on September 28 at $42.20. Strong claims.

1st Pick
11

Semba

Jockey: Tim Williams

Trainer: Steve & Amanda Telfer

J: Tim Williams

T: Steve & Amanda Telfer

77---43%11/8

Analysis

Last start 4th (Sr1) over 1 ³/16m at Kaikoura beaten 4 m by Flying Bird (2:17.60) in 4yo+ on November 3 at $2. Before that, a good run when 3rd (Fr5) over 1m at Phar Lap Raceway, beaten 8 m by Hadron Collider (3:18.80) on September 28 at $42.20. Strong claims.

7
Miki's Courage silk

Not far away at the last couple starts, Finished 2.5 m third behind Taketheplunge at this track over 1 ³/16m 3yo+ last start. Before that was beaten 3 metres third at Kaikoura over 1 ³/16m in 4yo+ on November 3. Form sound and expected to measure up.

2nd Pick
7

Miki's Courage

Jockey: John Dunn

Trainer: Robert & Jenna Dunn

J: John Dunn

T: Robert & Jenna Dunn

72---12%15/2

Analysis

Not far away at the last couple starts, Finished 2.5 m third behind Taketheplunge at this track over 1 ³/16m 3yo+ last start. Before that was beaten 3 metres third at Kaikoura over 1 ³/16m in 4yo+ on November 3. Form sound and expected to measure up.

8
Zarlini silk

Resuming after four months off the scene. Finished off last preparation when well beaten into fifth behind Miki Bennett at this track over 1m in a 4yo+ on July 25 at $17.70. Danger while fresh.

3rd Pick
8

Zarlini

Jockey: Ben Hope

Trainer: Greg & Ben Hope

J: Ben Hope

T: Greg & Ben Hope

69---9%11/1

Analysis

Resuming after four months off the scene. Finished off last preparation when well beaten into fifth behind Miki Bennett at this track over 1m in a 4yo+ on July 25 at $17.70. Danger while fresh.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.