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5:22 AM

NZH - Addington - Race 13

Harness
14 Runners
9.8f
Unknown
Synthetic
16.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MARBLE ARCH (3) did a great job when he drew wider and worked but fought well for a close second at Kaikoura last week. Owns a good record at this distance and should enjoy a nice run from this favourable starting position. Big chance to go one better. CAPTAIN TYRON (1) has been competitive of late despite a series a wider barriers including a placing two back at this circuit and distance He should get every chance from the inside draw. THE QUEENS GAMBIT (10) didn't do a bad job when fifth behind a good filly when returning to NZ last time out. May need some luck from the back row but is good enough to win if she gets the gaps. DOLLY PARTON (2) draws well and is tough to leave out after coming from wide barriers to win her last two outings at Alexandra Park.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Marble Arch silk

Improved last start with a good run when 2nd (Fr7) over 1 ³/16m at Kaikoura, beaten 0.5 m by Mystery Creek (2:17.88) in 3yo+ on November 2 at $4.30. Well placed to go one better.

1st Pick
3

Marble Arch

Jockey: Carter Dalgety

Trainer: Cran & Chrissie Dalgety

J: Carter Dalgety

T: Cran & Chrissie Dalgety

76---25%3/1

Analysis

Improved last start with a good run when 2nd (Fr7) over 1 ³/16m at Kaikoura, beaten 0.5 m by Mystery Creek (2:17.88) in 3yo+ on November 2 at $4.30. Well placed to go one better.

1
Captain Tyron silk

Last start 5th (Fr5) over 1 ¹/16m at Ashburton Raceway beaten 7 m by Sonofamistery (2:01.00) in 3yo on October 26 at $9.50. Before that, a solid effort when 3rd (Fr6) over 1 ³/16m at this track, beaten 10 m by Franco Lomu (2:20.97) in 3yo CG on October 16 at $22.30. In the mix from the inside draw.

2nd Pick
1

Captain Tyron

Jockey: John Dunn

Trainer: Robert & Jenna Dunn

J: John Dunn

T: Robert & Jenna Dunn

77---27%11/4

Analysis

Last start 5th (Fr5) over 1 ¹/16m at Ashburton Raceway beaten 7 m by Sonofamistery (2:01.00) in 3yo on October 26 at $9.50. Before that, a solid effort when 3rd (Fr6) over 1 ³/16m at this track, beaten 10 m by Franco Lomu (2:20.97) in 3yo CG on October 16 at $22.30. In the mix from the inside draw.

10
The Queens Gambit silk

Recent efforts haven't been up to her best. Last start 5th (Fr4) over 1 ¹/16m at Ashburton Raceway, beaten 3 m by Cherish Me (1:59.40) in 3yo F on October 26 at $3.10. The run prior 11th (Fr6) over 1 ¹¹/16m after showing early speed at Melton well beaten by Bettor Beach (3:17.20) in 3yo G1 on October 17 at $10. Worth another chance. Leading player.

3rd Pick
10

The Queens Gambit

Jockey: Cameron Hart

Trainer: Jason Grimson

J: Cameron Hart

T: Jason Grimson

75---17%5/1

Analysis

Recent efforts haven't been up to her best. Last start 5th (Fr4) over 1 ¹/16m at Ashburton Raceway, beaten 3 m by Cherish Me (1:59.40) in 3yo F on October 26 at $3.10. The run prior 11th (Fr6) over 1 ¹¹/16m after showing early speed at Melton well beaten by Bettor Beach (3:17.20) in 3yo G1 on October 17 at $10. Worth another chance. Leading player.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.