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5:04 AM

NZH - Addington - Race 1

Harness
11 Runners
12.9f
Unknown
Synthetic
14.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

AXEL ROSE (10) kicked off his campaign with three placings before making a well-deserved return to the winners' circle last week, proving too good at this circuit and distance. Has to contend with a very wide draw this time but is race fit now so with even luck he could strike again. DIDN'T DI (4) chased Axel Rose when runner-up last week, his third placing in four outings since a Rangiora win. Draws inside that rival this time so could turn the tables. LOOK TO DA STARS (8) is first up for five months but recorded back-to-back wins here and at Alexandra Park back in November. Look out for any positive market movement. A win could be imminent for ALMIGHTY (6) having placed in his last two outings at this circuit and distance, the latest from this same barrier.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Axel Rose silk

Racing consistently. Last start won by 1.4 m (Fr3) at this track (3:19.10) beating Didn't Di in 3yo+ on May 15 at $2.10. Key runner once again.

1st Pick
10

Axel Rose

Jockey: Matthew Williamson

Trainer: Matthew Williamson

J: Matthew Williamson

T: Matthew Williamson

77---48%11/10

Analysis

Racing consistently. Last start won by 1.4 m (Fr3) at this track (3:19.10) beating Didn't Di in 3yo+ on May 15 at $2.10. Key runner once again.

4
Didn't Di silk

Improved last start with a good run when 2nd (Fr5) over 1m at this track, beaten 1.4 m by Axel Rose (3:19.10) in 3yo+ on May 15 at $9.20. Can improve. Sure to be in the finish.

2nd Pick
4

Didn't Di

Jockey: Blair Orange

Trainer: Matt Purvis

J: Blair Orange

T: Matt Purvis

74---20%4/1

Analysis

Improved last start with a good run when 2nd (Fr5) over 1m at this track, beaten 1.4 m by Axel Rose (3:19.10) in 3yo+ on May 15 at $9.20. Can improve. Sure to be in the finish.

8
Look To Da Stars silk

Returns after five months in the paddock. Finished off last preparation when well beaten into fifth behind Hill Billie Bundy at Alexandra Park over 1m in a 3yo+ on December 31 at $2.60. Should be right in the finish.

3rd Pick
8

Look To Da Stars

Jockey: John Dunn

Trainer: Nathan Purdon

J: John Dunn

T: Nathan Purdon

72---12%8/1

Analysis

Returns after five months in the paddock. Finished off last preparation when well beaten into fifth behind Hill Billie Bundy at Alexandra Park over 1m in a 3yo+ on December 31 at $2.60. Should be right in the finish.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.