GB - Stratford-on-Avon - Race 3

Thoroughbred

5 Runners

22.6f

Handicap Chase

Turf

20.5K

VIEW

Verdict

Robbie Llewellyn's reliable mare LUNAR DISCOVERY has gone well off a break so is fancied to follow up her Chepstow victory just after Christmas with that race having worked out really well. Tapley wasn't seen to ideal effect when third at Kempton and looks the danger.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	Consistent sort who gained a deserved breakthrough success over fences in 19.5f handicap at Chepstow in December. That form has worked out really well and given her good record fresh she has strong claims. 1st Pick 2 Lunar Discovery Jockey: Charlie Price Trainer: Robbie Llewellyn J: Charlie Price T: Robbie Llewellyn	100	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Consistent sort who gained a deserved breakthrough success over fences in 19.5f handicap at Chepstow in December. That form has worked out really well and given her good record fresh she has strong claims.
4	Opened his chase account at Wincanton (2½m) in November and has continued in good nick, ridden aggressively when third of 6 in novice handicap at Kempton 14 days ago. 2 lb lower now and should be in the mix if he stays the new trip. 2nd Pick 4 Tapley Jockey: Isabelle Ryder Trainer: Suzy Smith J: Isabelle Ryder T: Suzy Smith	99	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Opened his chase account at Wincanton (2½m) in November and has continued in good nick, ridden aggressively when third of 6 in novice handicap at Kempton 14 days ago. 2 lb lower now and should be in the mix if he stays the new trip.
5	A 3-time hurdles winner last season. Yet to score over fences but he wasn't disgraced when fifth of 8 in 25f handicap chase at Wincanton 23 days ago (rapid headway before 4 out then found little). Not out of things down 3 lb with cheekpieces added. 3rd Pick 5 Kilbarry Hill Jockey: K. Brogan Trainer: Olly Murphy J: K. Brogan T: Olly Murphy	98	-	-	-	12%
Analysis A 3-time hurdles winner last season. Yet to score over fences but he wasn't disgraced when fifth of 8 in 25f handicap chase at Wincanton 23 days ago (rapid headway before 4 out then found little). Not out of things down 3 lb with cheekpieces added.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.