GB - Southwell - Race 6

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

6.1f

Handicap

Synthetic

Standard

12.0K

VIEW

Verdict

JESSE LUC has a much better draw than last time and can record a first success of the season from a handy mark. Dorney Lake and Baba Reza are also a well-treated pair and should be thereabouts.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	A 6-time winner on the all-weather over this trip last year, though is now twelve runs since last success. Better than bare result when sixth of 11 in handicap (17/2) at Wolverhampton (6f) 31 days ago, left poorly placed. One to note in the betting now 4 lb below last winning mark. 1st Pick 6 Jesse Luc Jockey: Luke Morris Trainer: Mike Murphy J: Luke Morris T: Mike Murphy	98	-	-	-	17%
Analysis A 6-time winner on the all-weather over this trip last year, though is now twelve runs since last success. Better than bare result when sixth of 11 in handicap (17/2) at Wolverhampton (6f) 31 days ago, left poorly placed. One to note in the betting now 4 lb below last winning mark.
2	Belatedly capitalised on his much-reduced mark at Doncaster (5.6f) last month and backed that up when second under a penalty at Pontefract next time. Can have his most recent run at York overlooked having had the worst of draw. Remains well treated and no surprise if bouncing back. 2nd Pick 2 Dorney Lake Jockey: Daniel Tudhope Trainer: Liam Bailey J: Daniel Tudhope T: Liam Bailey	93	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Belatedly capitalised on his much-reduced mark at Doncaster (5.6f) last month and backed that up when second under a penalty at Pontefract next time. Can have his most recent run at York overlooked having had the worst of draw. Remains well treated and no surprise if bouncing back.
5	Enhanced good record fresh when runner-up on return (following another breathing operation) at Carlisle in June and backed that up when third at Wolverhampton the following month. Remains well treated. 3rd Pick 5 Baba Reza Jockey: Clifford Lee Trainer: Julie Camacho J: Clifford Lee T: Julie Camacho	93	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Enhanced good record fresh when runner-up on return (following another breathing operation) at Carlisle in June and backed that up when third at Wolverhampton the following month. Remains well treated.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.