GB - Southwell - Race 5

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

6.1f

Handicap

Synthetic

Standard

8.0K

VIEW

Verdict

NACHO NACHO NACHO settled better than has been the case and finished strongly to grab third over C&D last time. A win appears imminent for this unexposed 3-y-o. Fenlander has been knocking on the door with a recent second over C&D, while Winter Crown remains of interest.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Winless after 6 starts but left stable debut behind when third of 12 in recent C&D handicap, settling better and finishing strongly. Current handicap mark is workable with prospect of more to come. 1st Pick 6 Nacho Nacho Nacho (Ire) Jockey: Daniel Muscutt Trainer: Jack Morland J: Daniel Muscutt T: Jack Morland	100	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Winless after 6 starts but left stable debut behind when third of 12 in recent C&D handicap, settling better and finishing strongly. Current handicap mark is workable with prospect of more to come.
12	Has shown fair form with third-place finishes at Nottingham and Beverley last summer. Second of 12 in handicap over C&D (9/2) 18 days ago, though failed to keep straight under pressure. Appears to have found his level so one to take seriously. 2nd Pick 12 Fenlander Jockey: Rob Hornby Trainer: Pam Sly J: Rob Hornby T: Pam Sly	98	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Has shown fair form with third-place finishes at Nottingham and Beverley last summer. Second of 12 in handicap over C&D (9/2) 18 days ago, though failed to keep straight under pressure. Appears to have found his level so one to take seriously.
3	Won 6f handicap at Newcastle (33/1), then fourth of 9 in 7f handicap at Wolverhampton (7/2) 13 days ago, maintaining good form. Can remain competitive. 3rd Pick 3 Winter Crown Jockey: Jason Watson Trainer: Liam Bailey J: Jason Watson T: Liam Bailey	96	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Won 6f handicap at Newcastle (33/1), then fourth of 9 in 7f handicap at Wolverhampton (7/2) 13 days ago, maintaining good form. Can remain competitive.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.