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4:15 PM

GB - York - Race 7

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
11.9f
Handicap
Turf
Good
41.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ARC OLE OLE has tasted success on each of his last 2 starts, that despite still looking rough around the edges latterly and, with further improvement likely, is taken to come out on top in a red-hot contest. Hard To Believe, Cotton Bud and Charles Darnay head the vast list of dangers.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Arc Ole Ole silk

Won 1m Bath novice in 2025 and showed further progress despite still looking very rough around the edges when winning 8-runner handicap at Doncaster by a short-head from Siam Ruby in March. Will continue to improve for experience and looks sure to be suited by this step up in trip.

1st Pick
10

Arc Ole Ole

Jockey: James Doyle

Trainer: Dylan Cunha

J: James Doyle

T: Dylan Cunha

98---17%5/1

Analysis

Won 1m Bath novice in 2025 and showed further progress despite still looking very rough around the edges when winning 8-runner handicap at Doncaster by a short-head from Siam Ruby in March. Will continue to improve for experience and looks sure to be suited by this step up in trip.

3
Hard To Believe (Ire) silk

Picked up where he left off as a juvenile and confirmed himself still on the upgrade when winning 5-runner novice at Wolverhampton in March. Both the runner-up and third that day have won since and he's open to further progress now upped in trip for handicap debut.

2nd Pick
3

Hard To Believe (Ire)

Jockey: Oisin Murphy

Trainer: Andrew Balding

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Andrew Balding

97---19%9/2

Analysis

Picked up where he left off as a juvenile and confirmed himself still on the upgrade when winning 5-runner novice at Wolverhampton in March. Both the runner-up and third that day have won since and he's open to further progress now upped in trip for handicap debut.

11
Cotton Bud (Ire) silk

Progressive 2-y-o for Kevin Philippart de Foy and took form up another level when making a winning debut for current yard in 1¼m handicap at Doncaster last month. Strength at the finish that day suggested she'll stay this longer trip. Player.

3rd Pick
11

Cotton Bud (Ire)

Jockey: Daniel Tudhope

Trainer: Shaun Lycett

J: Daniel Tudhope

T: Shaun Lycett

100---8%12/1

Analysis

Progressive 2-y-o for Kevin Philippart de Foy and took form up another level when making a winning debut for current yard in 1¼m handicap at Doncaster last month. Strength at the finish that day suggested she'll stay this longer trip. Player.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.