GB - York - Race 2

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Group 3

Turf

Good to Firm (Good in places)

137.5K

VIEW

Verdict

SPICY MARG took a big step forward when going close in the Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot and she can build on that effort back down in grade. She is taken to enhance the good recent record of 3-y-os in this race, at the expense of 2024 winner Flora of Bermuda. First Instinct looks worth another try at 6f and completes the shortlist.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
13	3-time winner as a juvenile, ending the campaign with listed success at Newmarket. Making third start of current season, outran odds of 50/1 when much-improved second in Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot, beaten only a head by Venetian Sun. Major player back at this level. 1st Pick 13 Spicy Marg Jockey: Hector Crouch Trainer: Michael Bell J: Hector Crouch T: Michael Bell	100	-	-	-	46%
Analysis 3-time winner as a juvenile, ending the campaign with listed success at Newmarket. Making third start of current season, outran odds of 50/1 when much-improved second in Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot, beaten only a head by Venetian Sun. Major player back at this level.
3	Winner of this race in 2024 who was campaigned mainly at the highest level last year, placing on 2 occasions. Made a winning return this season in listed race at Newmarket in May, before getting upset in the stalls when running no sort of race at Royal Ascot. Worth another chance. 2nd Pick 3 Flora Of Bermuda (Ire) Jockey: James Doyle Trainer: Andrew Balding J: James Doyle T: Andrew Balding	98	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Winner of this race in 2024 who was campaigned mainly at the highest level last year, placing on 2 occasions. Made a winning return this season in listed race at Newmarket in May, before getting upset in the stalls when running no sort of race at Royal Ascot. Worth another chance.
2	Good test over 5f suited when landing Group 3 at Newbury in September. Didn't make much impact in the Palace House at Newmarket on reappearance, though wasn't ideally drawn when well held at Royal Ascot. Should benefit from return to 6f and she's shortlisted back down in grade. 3rd Pick 2 First Instinct Jockey: Cieren Fallon Trainer: William Haggas J: Cieren Fallon T: William Haggas	97	-	-	-	8%
Analysis Good test over 5f suited when landing Group 3 at Newbury in September. Didn't make much impact in the Palace House at Newmarket on reappearance, though wasn't ideally drawn when well held at Royal Ascot. Should benefit from return to 6f and she's shortlisted back down in grade.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.