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Resulted

IE - Wexford - Race 6

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
24.7f
Handicap Chase
Turf
Good
17.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TEENAGE KISS couldn't have gone much closer to making a winning chasing debut here recently and having pulled well clear of the remainder that day, Conor O'Dwyer's 5-y-o gets the verdict to go one better. Nastya was fortunate to double her tally over fences at Limerick on return, but she could be the one to offer most resistance, while Astley could show more now handicapping so he rounds off the shortlist in a first-time tongue tie.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Teenage Kiss (Ire) silk

Much improved stepped up to 3m when winning handicap hurdle here in May and couldn't have gone much closer to following up on chasing debut here (23f, good to soft) just over 3 weeks ago, worn down by a dour stayer and pulling well clear of the remainder. Fancied to go one better.

1st Pick
6

Teenage Kiss (Ire)

Jockey: Harry Cobden

Trainer: Conor O'dwyer, Ireland

J: Harry Cobden

T: Conor O'dwyer, Ireland

100---20%

Scratched

Analysis

Much improved stepped up to 3m when winning handicap hurdle here in May and couldn't have gone much closer to following up on chasing debut here (23f, good to soft) just over 3 weeks ago, worn down by a dour stayer and pulling well clear of the remainder. Fancied to go one better.

1
Nastya (Ire) silk

Enhanced a good record when fresh when doubling her tally in 8-runner handicap chase at Limerick (25f, good) a couple of months ago, one losing his rider in front of her and another taking too long to get going from behind. 4 lb rise may leave her vulnerable.

2nd Pick
1

Nastya (Ire)

Jockey: D. J. O'keeffe

Trainer: Henry De Bromhead, Ireland

J: D. J. O'keeffe

T: Henry De Bromhead, Ireland

94---34%

Analysis

Enhanced a good record when fresh when doubling her tally in 8-runner handicap chase at Limerick (25f, good) a couple of months ago, one losing his rider in front of her and another taking too long to get going from behind. 4 lb rise may leave her vulnerable.

5
Astley (Ire) silk

Modest form at best over hurdles but positive start on both outings over fences in the spring. Well below that level at Down Royal when last seen in May but may show more now handicapping upped in trip. First-time tongue tie goes on.

3rd Pick
5

Astley (Ire)

Jockey: Alex Harvey

Trainer: Paul Traynor, Ireland

J: Alex Harvey

T: Paul Traynor, Ireland

99---6%

Scratched

Analysis

Modest form at best over hurdles but positive start on both outings over fences in the spring. Well below that level at Down Royal when last seen in May but may show more now handicapping upped in trip. First-time tongue tie goes on.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.