NZ - Waverley - Race 6

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

14.4K

VIEW

Verdict

LUCULLAN (4) is a very talented gelding who mixed his form during the spring but did remind us of his ability when winning easily at Whanganui in November. He has won his only start on this track, which is an advantage, and he does come to hand quickly. Follow any positive market moves. LEGALLY BINDING (1) had an excuse fresh up at Matamata and was not knocked around in the run to the line. He will be better for that hit-out, and will drop 7lbs from that run thanks to a 4lbs claim. Stick with him. Can win. RABEGA (2) got back on a slow back at Tauherenikau last time out, and ran on too late for sixth. He has been given plenty of time to get over that run, and he can figure in the top 3 here. COUNTRY SALON (5) may not be strong enough to see out a middle distance and will be dropping back from 1 ¼m to 6f for this. If the track is heavy, he is not the worst top 4 chance. NEPHETI (3) needed her first run back from a spell, and she will be a lot sharper for this. Include.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
4	Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation ninth of 11 at Trentham December 20 over 6f, soft track, 3.5 len behind Party Rocking with 119lbs at $4.70. Previously first up, seventh of 11 at Trentham September 20 over 6f, soft track, 5 len behind Whiskey N' Rye with 131lbs at $2.70. Sure to go well. 1st Pick 4 Lucullan Jockey: Toni Davies Trainer: Peter And Trent Didham J: Toni Davies T: Peter And Trent Didham	85	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation ninth of 11 at Trentham December 20 over 6f, soft track, 3.5 len behind Party Rocking with 119lbs at $4.70. Previously first up, seventh of 11 at Trentham September 20 over 6f, soft track, 5 len behind Whiskey N' Rye with 131lbs at $2.70. Sure to go well.
1	Second-up. First-up after two months 7th of 9 at Matamata on February 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 9 len behind Poetic Champion with 133lbs at $8.90. Previously second-up 2nd of 13 at Phar Lap Racecourse on October 9 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Graeme John with 126lbs at $4.40. Fitter and ready for sharp improvement. 2nd Pick 1 Legally Binding Jockey: Hayley Hassman Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Hayley Hassman T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	129	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after two months 7th of 9 at Matamata on February 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 9 len behind Poetic Champion with 133lbs at $8.90. Previously second-up 2nd of 13 at Phar Lap Racecourse on October 9 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Graeme John with 126lbs at $4.40. Fitter and ready for sharp improvement.
2	Returns from a 40-day let-up. Last start 6th of 9 at Tauherenikau on February 6 over 6 ½f, slow going 3.5 len behind Gohugo carrying 129lbs at $9.40. The race before that 2nd of 11 at Wanganui on January 10 over 6f, 0.6 len behind Cooper with 127lbs at $5.80. Great chance to atone. 3rd Pick 2 Rabega Jockey: Jonathan Riddell Trainer: Fraser Auret J: Jonathan Riddell T: Fraser Auret	80	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Returns from a 40-day let-up. Last start 6th of 9 at Tauherenikau on February 6 over 6 ½f, slow going 3.5 len behind Gohugo carrying 129lbs at $9.40. The race before that 2nd of 11 at Wanganui on January 10 over 6f, 0.6 len behind Cooper with 127lbs at $5.80. Great chance to atone.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.